Claire McCaskill (D) 45%
Jim Talent (R) 42%
Missouri State Auditor Claire McCaskill (D) has moved ahead of Senator Jim Talent (R) in the latest Rasmussen Reports election survey to lead the incumbent 45% to 42% (see crosstabs). The candidates were tied at 42% in our survey last month.
While a 3-point lead for the challenger is well within the survey’s margin of sampling error, it is a concern for any incumbent to be so far below the 50% level of support at this point in the campaign. Four other Republican incumbents are in similar or even more difficult circumstances (Santorum in Pennsylvania, Burns in Montana, Chafee in Rhode Island, and DeWine in Ohio).
http://www.rasmussenreports.com/2006/State%20Polls/July%202006/MissouriSenate.htm