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Election 2008: How did Obama win NC?

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Triana Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Nov-21-08 03:17 PM
Original message
Election 2008: How did Obama win NC?
bytheway is a pretty interesting mailing list/site - I've been a reader for years - if anyone's interested, have a look.
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Obama's success in winning 18.6 million votes in 13 Southern states and driving record turnout across the region - while turnout nationally remained flat - will hopefully banish the "write off the South" mentality in Democratic circles for a while. It was always dubious -- and a recipe for long-term political suicide -- given that the South is the fastest-growing region in the country, home to half the nation's African-American population, and is showing the most rapid demographic change in America.

Now, Democrats also know that mentality is just plain wrong - and Republicans know they can't take the region for granted.

But back to North Carolina: How did Obama turn North Carolina blue? Here are six key factors that gave him the victory:

1 - Obama mobilized the base: Perhaps more than any other candidate could have, Obama mobilized his core base in North Carolina in record numbers. At the forefront were African-American voters, who added over 300,000 registrations in 2008 and went to Obama by 95%. Obama also won over young voters by large numbers: 74% of those under 30 went Obama.

2 - The growing urban South: Obama won 66% of voters in the state's growing urban areas -- 64% in the Raleigh-Durham area alone. According to Public Policy Polling, urban areas made up 303,000 of the 436,000 votes Obama needed to gain relative to John Kerry's performance in 2004.

3 - The economy: From manufacturing to the state's huge finance sector, the North Carolina economy got hammered this year. Unemployment was inching above 8%. Similar to national trends, 54% of those who were "very worried" about the economy in N.C. voted Obama; he also won 57% of those making less than $50,000 a year. The more the percentage of people worried about the economy went up, so did Obama's numbers.


...

MUCH more:

http://www.southernstudies.org/2008/11/election-2008-how-did-obama-win-nc.html
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WillYourVoteBCounted Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Nov-22-08 01:57 AM
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1. massive turnout, but he won by 14,000 votes
so it was a nail biter!
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Triana Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Nov-22-08 01:03 PM
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2. Absolutely. The GOTV, canvassing, phonebanking efforts....
..and writing letters too (Durham women vote org).

It's very gratifying to see what a difference it made! It made THE difference. Nail-biter, yea, but we still turned NC blue!!

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Kelly Hayes-Raitt Donating Member (19 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Dec-16-08 04:16 PM
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6. Exciting!
Exciting....
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MadAnne Donating Member (208 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Nov-23-08 12:53 PM
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3. I think it was that Opie and Andy ad Rob Howard did. n/t
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Triana Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Nov-23-08 09:41 PM
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4. It's Ron Howard, isn't it? n/t
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MadAnne Donating Member (208 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Nov-30-08 07:15 PM
Response to Reply #4
5. Yep, I knew that, just can't type. Thanks. n/t
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