Keep in mind that Zogby only polled in 15 races. Dems had significant leads in 11 of them. Only the 18th in Ohio was polled . Space leads Bankrupt Joy 45 to 35.
http://elections.us.reuters.com/top/news/usnN03266399.htmlWASHINGTON (Reuters) - Democrats lead in races for 11 of 15 crucial Republican-held U.S. House seats a month before Nov. 7 elections, putting them within reach of seizing control of the chamber, according to Reuters/Zogby polls released Wednesday.
Republican incumbents are at particularly high risk, the polls found, with seven of nine trailing their Democratic challengers in the high-stakes battle for control of the U.S. Congress.
Democrats must pick up 15 seats to reclaim control of the House, and the polls found Republicans were also behind in four of six open seat races in districts they won in 2004.
"This is a dismal showing for Republicans," pollster John Zogby said. "Republicans ought to be very, very nervous."
The telephone polls of at least 500 likely voters in each of the 15 districts had a margin of error of plus or minus 4.5 percentage points.
In the Ohio district of former Republican Rep. Bob Ney, who resigned earlier this year after pleading guilty in an influence-peddling scheme, Democrat Zack Space leads Republican Joy Padgett 45 percent to 35 percent.