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Rep. Chris Carney - The Most Vulnerable Incumbent Dem Congressman????

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JPZenger Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Aug-19-08 02:19 PM
Original message
Rep. Chris Carney - The Most Vulnerable Incumbent Dem Congressman????
Edited on Tue Aug-19-08 02:29 PM by JPZenger
Rep. Chris Carney is a freshman moderate Dem. congressman from the 10th District in Northeast PA. He represents a rural traditionally conservative Republican district. His win in 2006 was helped by a scandal involving the Republican incumbent, Sherwood. When 2008 came around, the Repubs were salivating over the seat, and had a flood of candidates. The Repub. candidate is Chris Hackett, a rich businessman who is funding much of his own campaign.

He was widely considered to be the most vulnerable Dem. incumbent, but is doing well in fundraising and has a slight lead in the polls.

www.newitem.com

August 3, 2008

"Carney Not as Vulnerable

Excerpts:

"The Political Report lists the 10th as a pure “toss up.” It’s one of only two races in that category with a Democratic incumbent running. Other Washington publications say Carney, 49, is doing what he needs to keep the district in the Democrats’ column against Hackett, 45, and might have the right combination of constituent services and other factors to hold a seat tailor-made for Republicans. Registered Republicans make up about 49 percent of the voters, compared to Democrats’ 40 percent, according to the state Bureau of Elections. In 2004, President George Bush carried the district, winning about 60 percent of the vote.

...Sahd said “Hackett is still trying to mend some of the wounds opened for him during the Republican Primary. He’s going to need a unified Republican Party.”

Hackett, whose personal assets total near $10 million, has the advantage to self-fund when his campaign coffers are low. He spent $790,000 on his primary victory. “Hackett has shown an ability to self-fund as you saw at the end of the primary, as well as fund raise,” Sahd said. “Being a self-funder isn’t always a good thing. They tend to make foolish mistakes not listening to advisers and go there own way. Hackett has shown he can be a skillful politician. I don’t know that he’ll be hurt by that typical pitfalls of self-funders.”

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http://www.carneyforcongress.com
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"GOP in 10th now less than 50 percent

Wilkes Barre Times Leader

Congressional district’s GOP voters down 4 percent since 2006.

The number of registered Republicans in the 10th Congressional District has dropped below the 50-percent mark for the first time in decades.

The shift, reflected in the latest registration totals for the district, is significant since the district was redrawn in 2000 to heavily favor Republicans who have held the seat for 54 of the last 58 years. Registered Republicans in the sprawling district that encompasses all or parts of 14 northeastern and central Pennsylvania counties, now stands at 206,093, or 48.7 percent. That’s a drop of about 4 percent from 2006.

The number of Democrats increased about 2 percent in that time frame, now showing a total of 171,263, or 40.5 percent of the registered voters. “Like the rest of Pennsylvania and the country, Northeast and Central Pennsylvania is trending Democratic. We are proud that new voters are registering as Democrats and previous Republican voters are changing their affiliation,” state Democratic Party Chairman T.J. Rooney said."

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Here's a recent review of races:

http://www.raisingkaine.com/showDiary.do?diaryId=15318


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angryfirelord Donating Member (248 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Aug-20-08 12:03 PM
Response to Original message
1. Re:
Carney certainly has an uphill battle, but one of the weaknesses Hackett has is his campaign. He ran a filthy campaign against Dan Meuser. (and I like Dan, he has a certain character to him) Considering how very few donors of Meuser's campaign went to Hackett's side, Hackett may not be as invincible as he thinks.

Chris Carney ftw! :)
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