Daily Kos says that a DSCC poll has Langevin 20 points in front of Chafee

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Lincoln "Switch-Or-Die" Chafee is looking quite anemic in the first DSCC poll of the race.
DSCC Poll. 1/11-13. MoE 4.4% (No trend lines):

Chafee (R) 32
Langevin (D) 52
A public opinion survey commissioned by U.S. Senate Democrats shows Republican incumbent Sen. Lincoln D. Chafee to be vulnerable to a Democratic challenge in 2006, especially if the candidate is U.S. Rep. James R. Langevin, of Warwick.
The poll numbers released yesterday by the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee show Langevin with 52 percent, Chafee at 32 percent and 17 percent undecided, said Cara Morris, spokeswoman for the committee <...>

The poll also tested two other Democrats who have expressed an interest in running against Chafee -- Secretary of State Matthew Brown and Sheldon Whitehouse, the former attorney general. The Democratic committee refused to release those numbers, but party sources -- and Chafee's staff -- said those results showed the senator with a big lead over Whitehouse and an even larger margin over Brown.

Chafee is going to get pinched from both the left and the right (in the form of a Club for Growth-sponsored primary challenger). His only chance for survival is to make that switch, and make it quickly.
Defending that seat as a Democratic incumbent in the heavily Blue state would spare DSCC money for tight races elsewhere.

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[Cha]

2. I just read the transcript of him

grilling con rice and I loved it!

cestpaspossible (165 posts) Wed Jan-19-05 09:38 PM
Response to Reply #1

6. transcript


SENATOR LINCOLN CHAFEE: It seems to be a hypocritical approach to our foreign policy in some ways, in particular how we deal with some of those democracies such as Russia, Senator Biden said, uneven or undemocratic or some of the Turkmenistan, Uzbekistan, Tajikistan, even Musharraf, President Musharraf, and then on the other hand have a completely different view of, say, Iran, as Senator Biden was saying. It seems to magnify our differences on one hand and on the other hand, we magnify our similarities. In particular after having just come back from South America and meeting with President Chavez. Here he has gone before his people, high, high turnout. Just had a referendum, and as one of the people from our embassy said, they cleaned their clocks and kicked their butts. It seems to me to say derogatory things about him may be disrespectful to him, but also to the Venezuelan people. How do you react to that?

CONDOLEEZZA RICE: Well, I have nothing but good things to say about the Venezuelan people. They are a remarkable people, and if you notice, Senator Chafee, I was not making derogatory comments, I was simply recognizing that there are unhelpful and unconstructive trends going on in Venezuelan policies. This is not personal.

SENATOR LINCOLN CHAFEE: And there aren’t in Tajikistan, Uzbekistan --

CONDOLEEZZA RICE: And we --

SENATOR LINCOLN CHAFEE: -- and Russia and --

CONDOLEEZZA RICE: And we speak out about those.

SENATOR LINCOLN CHAFEE: Pakistan?

CONDOLEEZZA RICE: We speak out about those as well, but some of this is a matter of trend lines and where countries have been, and where they are now going.

SENATOR LINCOLN CHAFEE: Are their governments unconstructive?

CONDOLEEZZA RICE: Well, the Russian government is not unconstructive in a lot of areas. It's quite constructive in many areas. It's been more constructive on Iran in recent years. It is constructive on -- to a certain extent in trying to deal with the kind of Nunn-Lugar issues that we have talked about. It's been constructive in Afghanistan. It's constructive on a number of areas, but that doesn't excuse what is happening inside Russia where the concentration of power in the Kremlin, to the detriment of other institutions, is a real problem. And we will continue to speak to the Russians. I think we do have to remember that it is also not the Soviet Union. The Russians have come quite a long way from where the Soviet Union was, and we need to always keep that in mind when we judge current policies, but where they're going is simply not very good. It is something to be deeply concerned about, and we will speak out. Countries are going to move at different speeds on this democracy test. I don't think there's any doubt about that. But what we have to do is that we have to keep the agenda -- keep this item on the agenda. We have to continue to press countries about it. We have to support democratic forces and civil society forces wherever we can. I would just note that Ukraine, I visited in 2001, not long after I had become National Security Adviser, and I frankly when this happened in Ukraine was pretty stunned by how effective civil society was and how effective the Ukrainian people were in making their voices known. Some of that is because we and the E.U. and others have spent time developing civil society, developing political opposition, working with people, not to have a specific candidate in any of these countries, but to have a political process that's open. And we have to do more of that. We're going to spend some $43 million this year, I believe that's the number, on Russian institutions, trying to help the development of civil society there. We need to do more of that kind of thing, because while we put it on an agenda, while we confront the governments that are engaged in non-democratic activities, we also have to help the development of civil society in opposition.

SENATOR LINCOLN CHAFEE: You and Senator Boxer were having a little bit of a debate over credibility, and to me, it seems as though trust is built with consistency. Is it possible for you to say something positive about the Chavez administration?

CONDOLEEZZA RICE: It's pretty hard, Senator, to find something positive. Let me say this.

SENATOR LINCOLN CHAFEE: I don’t understand that, after Tajikistan --

CONDOLEEZZA RICE: Let me say this.

SENATOR LINCOLN CHAFEE: -- Pakistan, Russia. It seems as though, as I say, magnifying our differences to some countries and magnifying our similarities with others. And as I said, I think trust is built with consistency, and I don't see consistency in some of your comments.

CONDOLEEZZA RICE: The state of behavior in the western hemisphere, the sate of affairs in the western hemisphere, is such that we have had democratic revolutions in all of these places, and we don't want to see them go back. We have some places where the democratic revolution is still to take place. We just have to understand that there are differences in that regard. But I have said, we hope that the government of Venezuela will continue to recognize what has been a mutually beneficial relationship on energy and that we can continue to pursue that. We certainly hope that we can continue to pursue counter-drug activities in the Andean region, and Venezuela participates in that. But I have to say that for the most part, the activities of the Venezuelan government in the last couple of years have been pretty unconstructive.

SENATOR LINCOLN CHAFEE: Well, thank you very much. I'll go back to what I said earlier. It seems disrespectful to the Venezuelan people. They have spoken.


http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=show_topic&forum=132&topic_id=1510471

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3. Unless he turns into a Democrat, we MUST target his seat.

We need every Senate and House seat we can get. They vilified Tom Daschle in a Red State and we have NO CHOICE but to do the same in Rhode Island to Mr. Chafee.

Senator James Langevin, here he comes!!!

:dem:

[Old and In the Way]

4. That was a great line of questioning. It really did expose the

hypocrisy and inconsistancy in this administration's foreign policy. It's pretty damn obvious that this administration values oil a whole lot more than democracy. Condi's response was weak and not credible. Sucks that they can't script these hearings to allow only happy talk.

Too bad, I'm gonna miss Lincoln....as I'll miss all the moderate Republicans, like my Senators Snowe and Collins... as they get taken down in the blue states. We can no longer afford to re-elect moderate Republicans who give the RW radicals a majority in Congress.

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6. Do you agree to support Democrats over Snowe, Collins, and Chafee?

Please tell me you do! I don't care if they are liberals, we need their seats to gain the majority! Remember, Chafee supports right wingers Bill Frist and Rick Santorum in the GOP
caucus.

[Old and In the Way]

8. Absolutely-tootly.

And I spent 4 hours building a creative playground with Olympia, about 10 years ago. We were teamed up. She actually wore jeans and worked the whole time. But times have changed and she's gotta go.

Or she and Sue could cross the aisle and preserve their seats. There's talk of Snowe retiring....I think that's a good probability, IMHO. She's a hellofalot closer to a Kerry Democrat than a Bush Republican, I can't see where she's feeling much love in this Party these days.

I hope Chellie Pingree runs against Collins again....she'd be a great Democrat in the Senate.

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10. Thank You for your support! We need a united front to save our Country!

[splat]

5. dem Langevin is anti-choice

and chafee is pro-choice. sorry, that's a dealbreaker for me.

let rebel republicans lie.

[PROGRESSIVE1]

7. Langevin is with us on every other issue. Also, he will give us....

another Blue seat.

[Old and In the Way]

11. This is what kills the Party.

So what? If we get the majority, we can protect pro-choice values. What good is putting a pro-choice Republican in office when the Republican majority is anti-choice? We can't expect to order up the perfect candidates that conform perfectly on every issue....but we can push our agenda if we take back the majority in Congress.

[autorank]

9. Chafee should just switch! Period, no questions.

This is extremely interesting. I wonder how Collins and Snow look to challengers in hypotheticals. Chafee needs to get with it and do the right thing. Stop being cute; apparently it doesn't play well in the no bull-shit state, RI.

[m_welby]

12. it's too bad, I like linc, but we can't allow any more republicans

in the senate. In the south they don't care, they destroyed good men who happened to be democrats in order to gain and keep control of the senate. I hate to see it happen, but I will vote for a democrat and against linc. Unless the dem is a complete moron (we had one of those before; eddy beard). But langevin is ok, not perfect, but ok. I'd rather have linc change parties though, I hate to lose him.

[Wilms]

13. Lincoln for Democrat. n/t