Preface: 'Time for Change' assisted me with this analysis, concurs with my conclusions, and will be available to help me answer questions about it. We filed this report and supporting material to individuals in WA State this morning. If anyone reading this report would like a copy of the document and supporting materials, either pm me or 'Time for Change' and we will email them to you. Also, if anyone has direct contact with Senator Kerry, Senator Edwards or their associates, please give them the information.
Report:Suspicion of Election Fraud in the 2004 Washington State Governor and Presidential Race – the role of electronic voting devices in Snohomish and Yakima Counties.
I. Comparison of absentee vs. election day voting in Snohomish and Yakima CountiesThe hypothesis is that on election day, in two WA State counties, Snohomish and Yakima, election fraud was accomplished in the WA State Governor and Presidential race via the use of "blackbox" voting devices that could readily be manipulated to generate results contrary to voter intent.
Let us now evaluate absentee compared to the election-day numbers for Yakima and Snohomish Counties. Focus on the fact that for election-day those two counties used electronic devices for which no ‘paper trail’, i.e., output record amenable to standard auditing, is available. Also note that had WA State not conducted a ‘hand count’ of all ballots, excepting the election-day input to the electronic voting devices in Snohomish and Yakima counties, we would have been denied an opportunity to account for what may have happened.
In
YAKIMA County, as noted in the attached document (Ref 1. YakimaCounty04General.pdf1) that provides absentee and election-day totals we observe the following:
Pres/VP -- Kerry 28,474; Bush 43,352 (others 485)
Governor -- Gregoire 24,735; Rossi 46,044 (other 1351)
Thus:
Kerry got 0.77% more in absentee ballots than on election-day
Gregoire got 3.11% more in absentee ballots than on election-day
Now, let’s compare that with
SNOHOMISH County Pres/VP results (ref.2):
Kerry got 54.8% of the absentee votes and 51.8% of the election-day votes -- +3.0% for absentee
Then, if we look at the following two documents detailing recount results for Governor:
http://www.co.snohomish.wa.us/documents/Departments/Auditor/Elections/Results/General/ABTallySheet.pdfhttp://www.co.snohomish.wa.us/documents/Departments/auditor/elections/results/general/PollTallySheet.pdfWe learn from the first document (the manual count of absentee votes) that the results are:
Gregoire -- 97,044; Rossi -- 95,228
We learn from the second document (the "machine recount" of the DRE tapes) that the results are:
Gregoire -- 42,145; and Rossi -- 50,400
So, in Snohomish County, Gregoire got 50.5% of the absentee votes and 45.5% of election-day votes -- +5.0% for absentee
II. Pre-election poll and exit poll resultsGoing into 2 Nov 2004, a range of projections reported on 28 Oct 2004 in the Seattle-PI, had Gregoire leading Rossi by anywhere from 2% to 5%; but, as noted in the article, the “Rossi campaign” polls showed a "dead heat" or Rossi actually leading by 1%.
For reference check:
http://seattlepi.nwsource.com/local/197137_govsenate28.htmlURLs for the ‘exit polls’ for Pres/VP and Governor, as available on CNN’s site (please note the time of these exit polls and be assured that we are aware of how much ‘adjusting’ appeared to happen at the CNN site between 4pm EST 2 Nov 2004 and 2am EST 3 Nov 2004):
Governor:
http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2004//pages/results/states/WA/G/00/epolls.0.htmlPres/VP:
http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2004//pages/results/states/WA/P/00/epolls.0.htmlSimilarly, John Kerry received a smaller percent of the votes than would be expected from the Washington State exit poll as documented by Alastair Thomson and Ed Shalom (ref. 3).
And, a rather revealing quote is worthy of much thought and action:
"In Snohomish County, first in the state to adopt new touch-screen voting, officials apparently solved the September primary breakdown of dozens of machines that had jammed. But on Nov. 2, voters reported that the touch screens were recording votes for the wrong candidate."
From:
http://www.topangaonline.com/wboard/messages/144.htmlFurthermore, a visit to voteprotect.org followed by a check on WA State Snohomish County reveals incident reports of the type reported elsewhere throughout the Nation on 2 Nov 2004 with e-vote devices:
https://voteprotect.org/index.php?display=EIRMapCounty&state=Washington&county=Snohomish&cat=ALL&tab=ED04III. ConclusionIn the Washington State Governor’s race and Presidential race, the Democratic candidate performed substantially better in pre-election polls compared to official vote tally; and, for the Presidential race, the Democratic candidate (per ref 3) showed a distinctly better exit poll than official vote tally. In addition, for the two counties (Snohomish and Yakima) which used electronic voting without paper trails (“black box” voting), the Democratic candidates in both races performed considerably better in the absentee voting (which was counted by hand and therefore not susceptible to electronic manipulation) than in the electronic “black box” voting held on election day. When these facts are added to the fact that the software used to count the electronic vote is secret and not available to public viewing, serious suspicions are aroused about the integrity of the election in Snohomish and Yakima Counties, which demand further investigation.
IV. RecommendationsFor comparative purposes, it is essential to have absentee vs. election-day tallies for both Pres/VP and Governor from the other WA State Counties (note: to date the only two WA State counties that have provided, via their web sites, a breakout of absentee vs. election-day are, rather ironically, Snohomish and Yakima).
We urge immediate action to impound all e-voting devices from Snohomish and Yakima County.
A survey of the Snohomish County Spread Sheet (ref 2) also points to specific precincts whose e-voting devices should be extensively investigated. In addition, under-oath testimony should be obtained from any executive, technician, election board employee or others regarding the programming of those devices. Specific precincts of concern are based on a specific divergence pattern noted in numerous Snohomish precincts.
The pattern example is:
Pipeline precinct
Election-day: Kerry, 36; Bush, 74
Absentee: Kerry, 123; Bush 99
A non-exhaustive list of Snohomish precincts that match the pattern includes:
Peterson, Osborne, Olympus, Oaks, Monroe6, Monroe3, Misty, Mc Rae, Marysville13, 11, 10, 8, 7, 5, 3; Martha Lake, Marks, Mapplewood, Mann, Maltby, Machias, Lynwood 21, Loma, Locust, Larimer, Larch, Lakeview, Lake Stevens 7, Kayak, Jordan, Huckleberry, Hiltons Lake, Hillside, Hillcrest, Hazel, Haines, Greenwood, Granite Falls 1, 2; Gold Bar 1, 2; Glenwood, Getchell, Four Corners, Fern Everett 76, 72, 68, 57, 54, 51, 50, 48, 43, 42, 30, 29, 28, 27, 6; Estates, Edmonds 45, 39, 28, 21; Edgecomb, Ebey, Dubuque, Dry Creek, Davies, Crest, Centeninial, Brookwood, Brook, Brier7,1; Brandi, Bothell 37, 34; Boeing, Ash, Arnot, Arlington 12, 9, 6, 4, 3, 2; Anderson, Alma
As noted, the Yakima summary available on-line does not provide a precinct break-out of absentee vs. election-day.
IV. References 1. YakimaCounty04General.pdf (attached in filed report)
http://www.co.yakima.wa.us/vote/english/Returns/04General.pdf2. SnohomishTallyAbsED2004.xls (attached in filed report)
http://www.co.snohomish.wa.us/auditor/elections/1104sov/7.htm3.
http://www.scoop.co.nz/mason/stories/HL0411/S00270.htm (attached in filed report)