So far Zogby has called every state accurately...(hint: Kerry wins!)

[truthpusher]

and he said it would be 311 vs. 213 in Kerry's favor...

link: http://www.zogby.com/

[The Jacobin]

1. Thanks!

There is too much gloom around here! I'm waiting for the party! :party:

[truthpusher]

40. California to Kerry as predicted.

[truthpusher]

41. Zogby model is still good!

[truthpusher]

42. Washington to Kerry as predicted - Still good!!

[truthpusher]

43. Colorado to Bush (CBS) - still within model - Bush plus 9

[truthpusher]

56. CBS - Arizona to Kerry - still within model!!

[Hawkeye-X]

57. Colorado rejects Bush

NEWSFLASH!

[truthpusher]

59. Zogby called Florida for Kerry by .1% - still possible.

[truthpusher]

60. Oregon to Kerry - Model is still holding.

[curse10]

2. I like that stat

:D

[Bush-bin-Lyin]

3. That is just what I needed!!!

WAKE UP FLORIDA!!!

[TransitJohn]

4. Yep.

Thanks for the positive vibes. :kick: :kick: :kick: :kick:

[BamaLefty]

5. LETS GO FL!

[Politicub]

6. I was wondering about that

Thanks for the reality check

[curse10]

7. Let's keep this thread kicked for the naysayers!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

Woooo hoooo!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

[scottxyz]

8. Per Zogby-5pm-ET, Kerry only needs FL or OH or CO to win

The math is here:
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x2239

[curse10]

11. Man, I wish I was still registered in Colorado

:grr:

[Tellurian]

9. Great!

However, the Rovian jackals always have an Ace in the Hole.
Will it be the "provisional" ballots that save the Bush dictatorship?

Newscasters have compared them to the hanging chads...

[truthpusher]

10. kick!

[Diana52]

12. Yes!

I printed that out, and have been keeping track. Right on Target thus far.

[Chimpeach]

13. And don't forget the pigskin prediction!

[cheezus]

14. yes, and only safe states have been called.

[truthpusher]

15. Just checked - still the same - zogby calling it.

[spooky3]

16. CBS: "No 'turnovers' and no surprises so far."

Turnovers are states that the opposite party won in 2000.

[mconvente]

17. Ohio!!

Down to 40,000 lead for Chimp with only 22% in. I feel we are gonna carry it!

[Longhorn79]

18. Do you know how the precincts report geographically in OH?

East to West or what? Is it just random?

[Ksec]

25. random. Dem counties are slow to report. Its lookin good in Ohio

[AngryOldDem]

33. One county, though, is a big disappointment

Bush is leading handily in Clark County, northeast of Dayton. Clark County has been hit hard economically...thought was Kerry would have no problem up there. I know I for one was counting on a huge Montgomery County-Clark County corridor for Kerry to swing SW Ohio his way.

Report on Dayton station just now said Clark has 91% of ballots at the B of E. Some, however, have been bent while in transit -- and if I heard right, they have to be re-created or something before they are counted. God, I HOPE I misunderstood that.

WKRC out of Cincinnati is reporting that the current Ohio numbers DO NOT include NE Ohio (Cuyahoga, etc.)

The good news is Kerry is walking over Bush in Montgomery County, considered key in the state as well as the nation -- by a 60/40 margin.

[milburn]

48. John Kerry will win

[ProgressiveDave]

19. Zogby gives Kerry FL, PA, MI, WI, & OH

boo-yah!

[Ohio rules]

29. where is the link?

I can't find it !!!

I need to throw it in somebodys freepin face !!

[TankLV]

My sister just called - Dayton - polls are PACKED.

Dayton area polls to stay open past midnite.

So far look encouraging for Kerry.

7{30pm PST

[AngryOldDem]

44. Where in Dayton is this?

Local media here is not reporting this.

[AngryOldDem]

45. Try this

I printed it out because so far, Zogby is right on. I just need to know when Bush will rack up his last Red state.

http://www.zogby.com/

[ProgressiveDave]

61. in the original post.

[bigpathpaul]

20. I like this Zogby fellow. :) n/t

[abburdlen]

21. kick!

Set away from your computers and television if necessary- but relax for a moment folks.

[curse10]

22. kick!!!!

:kick:

[truthpusher]

23. Zogby model is still good!

[truthpusher]

24. Arkansas to * as predicted

[ChavezSpeakstheTruth]

26. That's what my eye is on!!!

[truthpusher]

27. Missouri to * as predicted

[Ohio rules]

28. 213 - 184 ( current )

means * will only get 29 more votes !!!
is this scientifically accurate and 100% correct ??

I don't think so!
Kerry only need 160 to get over the 270 needed.

[xequals]

30. Princeton Professor Sam Wang also projects Kerry will win with 311

Posted final prediction last night. He does a meta-analysis of all state polls. Smart guy and well respected.

http://synapse.princeton.edu/~sam/pollcalc.html

[Andromeda]

31. He's right!

Absolutely right on! My figures have Kerry with 313 EV but who's quibbling!

[Soopercali]

32. So far, so good.

Kick!
:kick:

[BlueScreen]

34. Is this still true? (nt)

[truthpusher]

39. all true...Kick!

[scottxyz]

35. Per Zogby, Bush needs ALL THREE of FL / OH / CO to win!

And I doubt Bush can get all three of these states.

Per Zogby, Kerry only needs ONE out of FL or OH or CO to win!

The math is here:
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=show_topic&forum=203&topic_id=2239

[Wapsie B]

36. Think I'll stay glued to this thread.

It seems the most rational and level-headed one on DU tonight. C'mon 311

[slinkerwink]

37. kick

[truthpusher]

38. Pennsylvania for Kerry as predicted!!

[Kellis]

46. Go Dems!!!

Its looking really good for Kerry right now!

:thumbsup: :hi: :dem: :headbang:

[bliss_eternal]

49. kick...

[slinkerwink]

47. we lost NM though

[Media_Lies_Daily]

50. It hasn't been called yet, has it?

[Supply Side Jesus]

51. nm lost??? not yet.

we'll see if the cities come through.

[Hoffnung]

53. 52% * 47% Kerry - 44% Reporting per C-SPAN

[Supply Side Jesus]

58. bernillio county (Albuquerque) hasn't come in yet.

[AspenRose]

52. NM: B 52%, K 47%, Nader 1%, 31% of precincts reporting

plus 6-7K provisional ballots that haven't been counted yet and won't for a day or two.

[maryallen]

54. NM -- too close to call ...

On NBC.

[Stargleamer]

55. Even if Zogby is wrong about Florida and N.M.....

if he is right about the other states (esp. Ohio) we still get at least 279 E.V. If we get Colorado, this goes up by 9.