Will the 1,600-member American Association for Public Opinion Research ever see a copy? Or will they simply distribute training materials for midcareer journalists and have its members spread the word at conferences and in newsrooms where they're invited that their data is only valid outside the US or if GOPer is "winning". Or will they simply note that a 3% MOE on a 52-48 result only means that 95% of the time the race results will be between 55%-45% and 49-51%?
.
http://www.usatoday.com/news/washington/2005-01-17-exit-poll-report_x.htm Exit pollsters to release election report to media
By Mark Memmott, USA TODAY
This week, the firms that produced exit polls of voters last November will tell the news organizations that paid them what, if anything, they think went wrong.
The surveys of voters as they left polling places led to widespread speculation on Election Day that Sen. John Kerry was sweeping President Bush out of office. But whether voters will ever know what happened remains unclear.
Edie Emery, a spokeswoman for the six-member media consortium that paid for the exit polls, says representatives from ABC, CBS, CNN, Fox News, NBC and the Associated Press want to review the report before making any decisions about what to make public.
The behind-closed-doors delivery of the report could come as soon as today. Because the report's conclusions might not be made public, the report is unlikely to appease critics who say the six media companies have moved too slowly to release information collected in the exit polls and have said too little about possible problems with those surveys.
"It's amazing to me that there's even a possibility that the report won't be released to the public," says Larry Sabato, director of the Center for Politics at the University of Virginia. "There was a major national controversy involving the integrity of the news organizations and of the polling firms involved."<snip>