The RED SHIFT, as examined by Time Zone

[ClintCooper2003]

Somebody probably already did this, so I'm sorry if this is a dupe. I just thought it would be interesting to look at the discrepancy from exit poll to results, as separated by time zone.

I got the information by comparing numbers on http://www.uselectionatlas.org and http://www.exitpollz.org

Eastern Time Zone:
Connecticut 6.38
Delaware 8.94
DC 1.76
Florida 4.87
Georgia 2.88
Indiana 2.8
Kentucky 1.64
Maine .49
Maryland .88
Massachusetts 7.13
Michigan 1.58
New Hampshire 9.51
New Jersey 7.47
New York 7.71
North Carolina 8.44
Ohio 6.22
Pennsylvania 6.27
Rhode Island 7.02
South Carolina 8.77
Vermont 10.26
Virginia 4.2
West Virginia 3.39
AVERAGE BUSH SHIFT = 5.39

Central Time Zone:
Alabama 8.04
Arkansas 3.02
Illinois 3.9
Iowa 1.99
Kansas -4.97
Louisiana 3.65
Minnesota 5.56
Mississippi 6.19
Missouri 2.1
Nebraska 6.7
North Dakota -4.5
Oklahoma .74
South Dakota -2.06
Tennessee -3.17
Texas -3.07
Wisconsin .04
AVERAGE BUSH SHIFT = 1.51

Mountain Time Zone:
Arizona 4.35
Colorado 2.85
Idaho 5.27
Montana .03
New Mexico 3.41
Utah 6.54
Wyoming 3.33
AVERAGE BUSH SHIFT = 3.68

Pacific + Alaska/Hawaii:
Alaska 6.51
California 1.29
Hawaii -2.11
Nevada 3.87
Oregon -1.76
Washington 2.94
AVERAGE BUSH SHIFT = 1.79

[LibertyorDeath]

1. New Hampshire 9.51 ouch this seems way out of line imo

[myschkin]

2. Or

Eastern Time Zone = 5 Battleground States = BS 5,39

Central Time Zone = 2 Battleground States = BS 1,51

Mountain Time Zone = 3 Battleground States = BS 3,68

Pacific Time Zone = 2 Battleground States = BS 1,79


It would be interesting to see a mixed graphic of East-West-Shift and Battleground-States...

See also the study of TIA...

http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x141048