Actually, 17 exceeded the state exit poll margin of error.
Each additional state makes the probability much less likely.
Just having a little fun.
No.of
states
beyond Probability
MOE 1 in
1 1.4
2 3
3 8
4 28
5 123
6 662
7 4,214
8 31,188
9 264,775
10 2,551,003
11 27,650,777
12 334,779,027
13 4,500,728,464
14 66,853,020,488
15 1,092,586,148,150
16 19,577,335,627,708
17 383,460,581,646,824
18 8,189,695,680,931,680
19 190,319,450,041,161,000
20 4,804,103,490,729,780,000
21 131,535,012,282,613,000,000
22 3,901,974,362,957,790,000,000
23 125,306,706,297,519,000,000,000
24 4,353,671,419,737,160,000,000,000
25 163,598,780,929,116,000,000,000,000
26 6,648,193,701,525,870,000,000,000,000
27 292,204,109,059,574,000,000,000,000,000
28 13,896,097,266,080,100,000,000,000,000,000
29 715,477,803,848,928,000,000,000,000,000,000
30 39,919,266,727,746,200,000,000,000,000,000,000
31 2,416,346,782,507,100,000,000,000,000,000,000,000
32 158,914,991,404,095,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000
33 11,375,826,489,208,300,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000
34 888,300,430,007,246,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000
35 75,862,583,475,284,400,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000
36 7,107,773,520,372,520,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000
37 733,295,463,227,010,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000
38 83,670,002,377,083,200,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000
39 10,614,122,675,345,300,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000
40 1,506,483,027,083,520,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000
41 241,070,528,151,754,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000
42 43,906,750,235,413,300,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000
43 9,210,338,869,052,550,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000
44 2,259,344,869,726,780,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000
45 661,276,977,742,810,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000
46 237,409,991,198,539,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000
47 108,856,287,475,067,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000
48 67,964,127,794,279,700,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000
49 64,974,402,882,020,900,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000
50 126,765,060,022,822,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000