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Why they are pushing on "liberal campuses"

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skids Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Feb-18-05 01:28 PM
Original message
Why they are pushing on "liberal campuses"
Edited on Fri Feb-18-05 01:31 PM by skids
If you have broadband, take a look at this.

http://www.cdc.gov/nchs/data/gis/atmapall.pdf

For those that don't, it basically shows that death rates among elderly males and elderly females are biggest in the South, and in the Midwest, respectively.

Let's take a look at the exit polls, which we know are flawed, but which are can still speak qualitatively.


2004 Overall Bush Kerry
18-64 (84%) 51.00% 48.00%
65 and Older (16%) 52.00% 47.00%

2004 EAST
18-64 (87%) 42.00% 57.00%
65 and Older (13%) 51.00% 49.00%

2004 MIDWEST
18-64 (86%) 51.00% 48.00%
65 and Older (14%) 55.00% 45.00%

2004 South
18-64 (84%) 59.00% 40.00%
65 and Older (16%) 54.00% 45.00%

2004 WEST
18-64 (79%) 49.00% 49.00%
65 and Older (21%) 49.00% 50.00%


So, while the Dems stand to lose as the grits and pork rinds take their toll on the old folks in the South, everywhere else it either barely matters, or, especially among older women in the Midwest, the Republicans lose their base. Between now and 2008, 15-20% of those in the 65 and older bracket will no longer be with us.

As far as the South goes -- well, it isn't exactly critical to the Dems except for FL.

The Midwest will go pretty solidly blue if the Republicans don't start working on the youth now. Despite the bombastic, self-congratulatory, egotistic streak they hold as a generation, boomers aren't going to sour to the conservative side at quite the rate their parents did. Some had a reactionary shit fit when they had kids, but they'll recover.

So don't go thinking the campuses are just the next thing on the right's agenda after the oval office, senate, and house. This is a timed move upon which rests their political fate. They won't let up, because if they get beat there (and we manage to repair the voting system) it is game over for them for a while. They'll have to wait for power to corrupt the Dems to the point where there is backlash in order to get any traction.

So that's why, in case you are wondering. They've been doing their `ritmitic.

(Not to mention big business needs its higher-educated droids to be obedient and free from "defects" like a sense of social conscience.)

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dave123williams Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Feb-18-05 01:33 PM
Response to Original message
1. mmmmmmm. grits and pork rinds.
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beyurslf Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Feb-18-05 01:34 PM
Response to Original message
2. This ignores that people's view and voting patterns shift as they age.
Those same 45-55yo boomers who are solidly Repub now were the Dem's demanding peace and passing the joint in the 60's. Just because a college student tends to vote Dem now does not mean he or she will continue to do so in the future.
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skids Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Feb-18-05 01:39 PM
Response to Reply #2
4. By the same token...
Just because he stress of parenting made people flip their wig and seek a comfy artificial moral high ground, doesn't mean they will keep voting Republican after they've retired and have more time to actually think about the world around them.

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PROGRESSIVE1 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Feb-18-05 01:40 PM
Response to Reply #2
5. But the older folk have mostly stayed Democratic since FDR.
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blm Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Feb-18-05 01:36 PM
Response to Original message
3. To create the same type of backlash they did with the lie "liberal media"
Edited on Fri Feb-18-05 01:36 PM by blm
No mystery.
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