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Detailed analysis of Palm Beach County votes by precinct vs fraud,etc.

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berniew1 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Feb-19-05 11:56 PM
Original message
Detailed analysis of Palm Beach County votes by precinct vs fraud,etc.
these are the compilations of the 2000 and 2004 registration and vote data by precinct for Palm Beach County correlated to vote machine fraud, dirty tricks, long lines

pbvsum is data for areas with known fraud, dirty tricks, long lines, machine problems
http://www.flcv.com/pbvsum.html

pbvdata is data for all precincts
http://www.flcv.com/pbvdata.html

I haven't finished the analysis, but its clear that the swing in precincts with known fraud and manipulation was more than for the average precinct.

And all precincts used touchscreens and the county experienced known manipulation and problems that affected most precincts.
http://www.flcv.com/fraudpat.html

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berniew1 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Feb-20-05 12:03 AM
Response to Original message
1. I'd like to interact with someone from Palm Beach about details that
I'm not familiar with regarding certain precincts in Palm Beach County.

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berniew1 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Feb-20-05 12:05 AM
Response to Reply #1
2. Also, if had volunteer from Broward or Dade I could help do this for those
counties

There was a huge vote swing due to vote machine fraud, dirty tricks, malfeasance, and manipulation of absentees and provisionals in those counties.

http://www.flvc.com/fraudpat.html

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berniew1 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Feb-20-05 09:37 AM
Response to Original message
3. Some further details on the analysis and vote swing in P B county


I've done a detailed analysis by precinct comparing Dem percent vote in 2000 and 2004 and turnouts in the precincts with reported machine vote switching, systematic dirty tricks, or long lines/machine problems.

Palm Beach County ranked number 3 in Florida in terms of reported irregularities in the 2004 election reported to the EIRS hotline.

Palm Beach County is documented to have had a large amount of vote machine fraud, systematic dirty tricks in minority precincts, and manipulation of absentees and provisionals, as well as long lines and machine problems primarily in minority precincts.
http://www.flcv.com/fraudpat.html

All precincts in Palm Beach County used touchscreen voting. The average swing in turnout from 2000 to 2004(reduction) for Palm Beach County precincts was 3.2%. For the precincts with long lines or machine problems reported, the average swing(reduction) in turnout for those precincts was 7.8% between 2000 and 2004.
http://www.flcv.com/pbvsum.html
http://www.flcv.com/pbvdata.html

For all precincts the average swing(reduction in Dem vote percent) between 2000 and 2004 was 3.4%, but in precincts with reported vote switching the swing was 6.6%. But as explained, it wasn't possible to identify all precincts with vote switching in this limited effort and some precincts had more problematic machines than others.

But doing a precinct comparison between 2000 and 2004 and factoring in the knowledge of which precincts had the above type irregularities reported was difficult since there was a redistricting and change in precinct numbers between the 2 elections and about half of the precincts underwent significant changes that made 1 to 1 comparison between 2000 and 2004 impossible for those precincts.

Likewise only a small portion of the voters had the knowledge of the EIRS system and sufficient courage/motivation to file a report of irregularities so most such were not reported. Of those that were reported, only about half had sufficient detail in the summary put in the data base to identify the precinct where the irregularity occurred. Thus many of the problems reported were in precincts that could not be identified, and most problems were not reported.

But Florida had the most irregularities reported of all the states and the most identified vote machine fraud cases. Cases were reported in dozens of precincts in 3 counties and a lesser number of precincts in several other counties.

Broward and Palm Beach are the most Democratic counties, but due to circumstances Broward had a Repub supervisor appointed by Gov. and P.B. had a supervisor involved in major problems in 2000 and who appears to have a grudge against Dems.


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berniew1 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Feb-21-05 11:05 PM
Response to Reply #3
5. typo- vote swing in precincts with TS reports was 6.8% average
below the 2000 Gore percent. But Exit polls say Kerry got higher percent in Florida than Gore, so the actual swing was probably more than 6.8%.

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berniew1 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Feb-20-05 06:24 PM
Response to Original message
4. URL for summary of the Palm Beach study of effects of fraud, supp on vote
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berniew1 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Feb-21-05 11:12 PM
Response to Original message
6. Both Broward and Miami-Dade had more irregularities reported than PB
and Broward had the most touchscreen fraud reported as well as more other machine problems that affected vote totals.
http://www.flcv.com/fraudpat.html

And see the Broward thread on Touchscreen "testing"
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x331311
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berniew1 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Feb-21-05 11:17 PM
Response to Original message
7. Does anyone know quick site to find voter turnouts by State in 2004 and 00
Edited on Mon Feb-21-05 11:25 PM by berniew1
and 2000??
I have it by some counties but not statewide. Probably on state web site.


I note Georgia had 18% increase for 2004 over 2000- see thread.
What about other states, including Florida.

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