A Corrupted Election: The Exit Polls Were Right

[ailsagirl]

Despite what you may have heard, the exit polls were right
By Steve Freeman and Josh Mitteldorf

Recall the Election Day exit polls that suggested John Kerry had won a convincing victory? The media readily dismissed those polls and little has been heard about them since.

Many Americans, however, were suspicious. Although President Bush prevailed by 3 million votes in the official, tallied vote count, exit polls had projected a margin of victory of 5 million votes for Kerry. This unexplained 8 million vote discrepancy between the election night exit polls and the official count should raise a Chinese May Day of red flags.

The U.S. voting system is more vulnerable to manipulation than most Americans realize. Technologies such as electronic voting machines provide no confirmation that votes are counted as cast, and highly partisan election officials have the power to suppress votes and otherwise distort the count.

Exit polls are highly accurate. They remove most of the sources of potential polling error by identifying actual voters and asking them immediately afterward who they had voted for.

http://www.inthesetimes.com/site/main/article/1970

[Peace Patriot]

1. 2004 ELECTION FRAUD SUMMARY (others have found this useful):

SEE this DU forum for discussion:
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x331151

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2004 ELECTION FRAUD SUMMARY

Gore 2000 repeat voters + huge Democratic new voter registration in 2004 (Dems 57%, Repubs 41%) + huge jump of Nader voters to Kerry = a 4 to 8 million vote margin for Kerry that inexplicably disappeared on election day. (--2nd report by Dr. Steven Freeman.)

This margin was virtually unsurmountable--by Bush--as every other statistic shows:

Kerry won both the national and state exit polls by a margin of 3%. (USCountvotes report, by 9 Ph.D.'s, and all other expert reports.)

Impossible skew to Bush in the official results vs. the exit polls, unaccountable by any conceivable bias in the exit polls--conservative odds of 1 in 10 million against the Bush win (confirmed by numerous Ph.D.'s and expert statisticians putting their reputations on the line to say so publicly in peer reviewed reports, including the USCountvotes report).

The UCCountvotes report, by 9 Ph.D.'s at leading universities, also indicates that Kerry's margin was even larger than the exit poll 3%, since the exit polls were actually skewed to favor Bush (the exact opposite of what was reported in the news!).

Skew to Bush in electronic voting vs. other methods in No. Carolina (--Democratic Underground analysis)

Skew to Bush in electronic voting vs. other methods in FLA. (--UC Berkeley statistics dept, study headed by Dr. Michael Haut)

Skew to Bush in electronic voting vs. other methods at the precinct level (USCountvotes report, by 9 Ph.D.'s).

Secret source code in the central electronic vote tabulators, held as proprietary info. by BushCon companies (two companies, Diebold and ES&S, one run by Bush-Cheney campaign chair in Ohio, the other by a billionaire rightwing nut), no paper trail, and no recount or audit possible, in a third of the voting machines in the country--all conditions for fraud insisted upon by Republican politicians and electronic voting machine company salesmen.

Electronic voting machines proven to be extremely insecure, unreliable and hackable.

All reported vote suppression incidents were perpetrated by Republican election officials and Republican operatives against Democratic voters, mostly minorities. One investigator estimates that 2 million minority votes were suppressed.

57,000 incidents of machine malfunction or vote suppression lodged with Congress--virtually all favoring Bush and hurting Kerry.

Many reports of touchscreen electronic voting machines changing Kerry votes to Bush votes, and none the other way around--huge odds against this.

The intense BushCon efforts to skew the election in such baldfaced, illegal ways in Ohio, Florida and several other key states indicates their fear of Kerry's big new voter registration advantage and the enthusiasm of the grass roots campaign. It was looking like a Kerry blowout--so they had to use every fraud plan they had in place.

Bush's approval ratings prior to the election were dismal - hovering around 50% - not possible for a sitting president to be elected with such low approval ratings, according to highly reputed pollster, Zogby.

Bush's approval ratings today remain dismal - hovering around 50% - dipping to 48% on his Inauguration Day!--an unprecedented "vote of no confidence" by the American people in a recently "re-elected" president.

Americans greatly disapprove of Bush's major policies (nearly 60% disapprove of the Iraq war, now, today--and 63% disapprove of torture under any circumstances).

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DOCUMENTATION

Exit poll analysis: Astronomical odds against the Bush win.

Dr. Steven Freeman: http://www.appliedresearch.us/sf/epdiscrep.htm

Dr. Ron Baiman: (PDF file) http://www.freepress.org/images/departments/997.pdf

Dr. Webb Mealy: http://www.selftest.net/redshift.htm

Jonathan Simon:http://www.scoop.co.nz/mason/stories/HL0411/S00142.htm


Nine Ph.D's from leading universities call for investigation of 2004 Election:

(PDF - clickable only in DU post): http://uscountvotes.org/ucvAnalysis/US/USCountVotes_Re_Mitofsky-Edison.pdf

- or - http://tinyurl.com/6e2yu (PDF -- link may not work using some download accelerators)


Florida: 130,000 to 230,000 phantom votes for Bush--paper vs. electronic voting: Dr. Michael Haut & UC Berkeley statistics team: http://ucdata.berkeley.edu
Press release: http://www.commondreams.org/news2004/1118-14.htm

Democratic Underground (ignatzmouse): (North Carolina: absentee ballot vs. electronic, inexplicable 9% edge to Bush in electronic: http://tinyurl.com/52dzk

Democratic Underground (TruthIsAll): "To believe Bush won, you have to believe..."

Part 1 http://tinyurl.com/4pucs

Part 2 http://tinyurl.com/4gqg5

Part 3 http://tinyurl.com/6okrm

Democratic Underground (TruthIsAll): The Time Zone Discrepancy
http://tinyurl.com/6u3cg

Johns Hopkins report on insecurity of electronic voting: http://tinyurl.com/6fwug

Easy demo of how insecure voting machines are (and good article):
http://www.chuckherrin.com/hackthevote.htm

"Myth Breakers: Facts About Electronic Elections" (2nd edition): www.votersunite.org

Ohio vote suppression: www.bpac.info/Votefraud/keyfacts.html

Documentation of widespread machine fraud and dirty tricks in over 20 states:
http://www.flcv.com/ussumall.html

Greg Palast, "Kerry Won-just count the votes at the back of the bus":
http://www.tompaine.com/articles/kerry_won.php

In progress compilations of various articles and materials on 2004 Election Fraud:

http://tinyurl.com/5tcyk

http://tinyurl.com/5rhsm

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Note: The credentials of the Ph.D.'s who have studied this matter and have spoken out publicly is extraordinarily impressive. All of the Dr.'s mentioned above are tops in their field, at leading universities. In addition, here is the list of Ph.D.'s who did the USCountvotes report:

Josh Mitteldorf, Ph.D. - Temple University Statistics Department
Steven F. Freeman, PhD - Center for Organizational Dynamics, University of Pennsylvania
Brian Joiner, PhD - Prof. of Statistics and Director of Statistical Consulting (ret), University of Wisconsin
Frank Stenger, PhD in mathematics - School of Computing, University of Utah
Richard G. Sheehan, PhD - Department of Finance, University of Notre Dame
Elizabeth Liddle, MA - (UK) PhD candidate at the University of Nottingham
Paul F. Velleman, Ph.D. - Department of Statistical Sciences, Cornell University
Victoria Lovegren, Ph.D. - Department of Mathematics, Case Western Reserve University
Campbell B. Read, Ph.D., Professor Emeritus, Department of Statistical Science, Southern Methodist University
Kathy Dopp, MS in mathematics - USCountVotes, President
Also Peer Reviewed by USCountVotes' core group of statisticians and independent reviewers.

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One last bit of info. Jonathan Simon, one of the leading analysts of the exit polls will be speaking at the Oakland, CA, ELECTION RIGGING TEACH-IN, Sat. Feb. 26. Here's the url for that event:

http://tinyurl.com/6b6vd

[berniew1]

6. There is lots of documentation of what caused the swings noted by Exit Pol

Touchscreen switching in 16 states

registration fraud and manipulation and systematic dirty tricks suppression of minorities and student in many states

ballot fraud and manipulation, phantom votes documented in many states

default of straight Dem ticket voters presidential vote to someone other than Kerry or to no one in many states that swung large number of votes

malfeasance,misfeasence, misinformation by partisan officials and poll workers documented to have swung huge number of votes

manipulation of absentees and provisionals responsible for swinging huge number of votes in many states

http://www.flcv.com/summary.html
or
http://www.flcv.com/ussumall.html

[Peace Patriot]

2. Calif. ALERT! Election Fraud Teach-Ins, Oakland, Santa Monica, Feb.26,27

Golden Staters, there is nothing more important than this! Nothing! The BushCons stole our democracy on November 2, 2004, and we MUST get it back! The methods they used were electronic voting and racist vote suppression. You will learn what happened. You will learn what to do about it!

• You wonder why we can't stop the killings and torture of people worldwide by the Bush Cartel?

• You wonder how the Social Security fund could be destroyed, and the Democrats in Congress don't have the votes to stop it?

• You wonder why your country is being led by a lunatic puppet of the War Machine?

• You wonder how the Schwarzenegger BushCons are going to turn California into a "red state" against our will?

THIS is IT! Election Fraud! Join these TEACH-IN's! If you can't go, PUBLICIZE THEM! Tell you friends! Put up posters! Call radio shows! Email your lists! Post everywhere!

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OAKLAND, Calif., Sat. Feb. 26

ELECTION RIGGING 101
A National Teach-In
On the 2004 election and what we must do to restore democracy

With Bob Fitrakis
Ohio Attorney, Editor, Columbus Free Press
(one of the four attorneys fighting sanctions in Ohio for Moss v. Bush)

Saturday, Feb. 26th
10am - 4pm
1st Congregational Church
2501 Harrison St. Oakland

$10 suggested donation
please bring lunch
more information to be posted soon at: www.democraticrenewal.com

How to Rig It:
-11 hour lines for democrats only
-"kerry" votes defaulting to "bush"
- registered voters purged
- exit polls ignored
- recounts that weren’t
and much more.

How to stop it:
- stunning documentary footage
- speakers
- action

Butch Wing, Rainbow Push
Larry Bensky, KPFA
Walter Riley, East Bay Votes
Speakers from Blackboxvoting.org
VotersUnite.org
Open Voting Consortium
the MMOB
and more

www.democratic renewal.com

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SANTA MONICA, Calif., Sun. Feb. 27

"Who Got Glitched: An Election Reform Teach-In"
Sunday, Feb 27th, 2:00 - 5:00 pm
The Church at Ocean Park
(2nd and Hill, Santa Monica)

Presenting:
KEYNOTE SPEAKER: Maxine Waters!
Bev Harris, Black Box Voting, Investigator
Bob Fitrakis, Columbus Free Press,
(Attorney, Moss vs. Bush/Cheney/Blackwell)
The Jonas/Quinn/ Ritt legal team for Ohio
Blair Bobier, Green Party, ‘The Ohio Recount’
Great Film Clips &
‘Building a Civil Rights /Voter Rights Coaliton’
Moderated by Ian Masters, KPFK
with Butch Wing, Rainbow Push
Medea Benjamin, Global Exchange & Codepink
Brad Freidman, Velvet Revolution
Kevin Spidel, Progressive Democrats
Blair Bobier, Green party
Susan Clark, Pro-Democracy Advocate
Mandeep Gill, Citizen Lobbyist ..and YOU!

Tickets $10 - No one turned away for lack of funds
Ticket orders & info: [e-mail]
Seating limited. Reservations recommended.

http://www.citizensact.org/pages/2/index.htm

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See emlev posts for additional details and discussion:

OAKLAND

http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=show_mesg&forum=203&topic_id=327393&mesg_id=327393

SANTA MONICA

http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=show_topic&forum=203&topic_id=329512

[Q3JR4]

3. Yes, but

what makes you think this is going to change anything?

The only thing we can do is try to convince our congress people to write new legislation. With both houses of congress under republican control, that's not going to help. We can attempt to get popular opinion on our side, but the media will do what it can to hinder us.

Without the ability to change anything (regardless of what damage they do between now and then) republicans WILL take over the senate (knocking the filibuster away from us) and they WILL cement their control of the house in the next election. There is nothing we can do to stop it.

If the power we have as bloggers isn't enough to break the strangle hold of the media and the republican election stealing machinery, then the ONLY way we have of taking back control of this country is revolution (something I don't want to see in my lifetime).

If revolution would be the catalyst for open and honest elections, I'm willing to take up arms along with the rest of the tatterdemalion masses.

[EST]

4. Virtually all of the great thinkers, throughout history,

including those in religious (yes, there are some with thoughtful, creative minds in that arena), time/money management, and many others, whose advice is highly sought after, suggest that the optimum way to accomplish any difficult or large project is to pick a piece that you can handle (for instance-a closet, if the project happens to be cleaning your house), and totally flatten it. Own it. That's your job, for now, so do it one hundred percent; each does what he is willing to be totally responsible for, and in this way, even the most difficult of jobs gets done. We must begin somewhere.

[berniew1]

5. Only if one has negative attitude. There was clear fraud, malfeasance,

and misfeasance that is documented down to the precinct level and in many cases to an individual by the many thousands of EIRS irregularity reports on election day.
I think it would be more effective to go through them and further investigate and send the info to authorities and Media, than to just pursue election reform through legislative bodies that have reason to like things the way they are.
The fraud and malfeasance, as well as the documented widespread dirty tricks by GOP activists were after all illegal, and could(I think should) be pursued.

cases by state, county, and precinct
http://www.flcv.com/summary.html
http://www.flcv.com/ussumall.html

And I think its more productive to concentrate on election reform through citizen initiative(majority of public agree) than
through special interest controlled legislative bodies.
http://www.flcv.com/2004plan.html