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Where is "59sunburst" when we need him/her. An Internet Mystery!!!

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autorank Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Jul-25-05 10:58 PM
Original message
Where is "59sunburst" when we need him/her. An Internet Mystery!!!
Edited on Mon Jul-25-05 11:00 PM by autorank
TruthIsAll provided an excellent selection of articles in a recent widely read post. I found this…

http://globalresearch.ca/articles/KEE501A.html

“But if the clumps of third-party votes seem not to have been the result of hackers moving votes about and leaving some of them parked with third-party candidates, that doesn't mean that hacking was not taking place. Another analysis that may have wide potential applicability has been published at the Democratic Underground website by a computer programmer who claims to have special expertise in the reverse-engineering of calculations, and who goes by the blogger cognomen of '59sunburst.' (Because this analysis has been anonymously published--and because, moreover, I have been unable to activate the author's link to a field of supporting data--I present it with due reservations, in the hope that those possessing programming expertise may be able to critically assess its validity.)”

…which led to this (and some questions below):

http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=show_topic&forum=203&topic_id=197869

Were Bush's 2000 Vote Tallies Used to Fake 2004 Tallies?

DU user 59sunburst said:

“First of all, I am not a statistician. I am a programmer. I've worked on projects for major corporations where I had to reverse-engineer calculations.

For the past month I've been analyzing presidential election results from Cuyahoga County, Ohio. I started by comparing precinct results from 2000 to 2004. Some where added and some were removed, so I narrowed my focus on precincts common to both years.

I also compared the results from 11/8/2004 with the results from 11/30/2004.

The first thing I noticed was that there were 46 precincts that recorded the same number of votes for George Bush in 2004 as in 2000, either in the preliminary or final results.

This compared with only 12 precincts that recorded the same number of votes for John Kerry in 2004 as for Al Gore in 2000.

I wondered if George Bush’s 2000 numbers for each precinct were somehow used as a benchmark for altering the results of 2004. The mission from the hacker’s perspective would be to ensure that Bush would maintain roughly the same level of support in 2004 as he had in 2000. Some randomness would have to be built in. Or perhaps some precincts with week results in 2000 would be given a little boost. Basically, the hacker would use a list of precincts and build a script that would apply a specific hack to each precinct.”

I was able to come up with the following formula for 11/30/2004 results: (and it seems to work estremely well, my comment, autorank)

QUESTIONS:

1) Was this formula/algorithm ever validated, by whom and to what result?
2) Where the heck is 59Sunburst?

This is intriguing as a ‘internet mystery’ even if the tool failed to predict fraud in a generalized sense. It is even more intriguing if the formula does work.

Anybody know?


A comprehensive explanation of election fraud--text and key links



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In Truth We Trust Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Jul-25-05 11:10 PM
Response to Original message
1. kick for truth-Nail `em
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kster Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jul-26-05 09:43 PM
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2. kick.nt
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autorank Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Jul-28-05 01:47 AM
Response to Original message
3. Did I ask the wrong question? A faux pas, perhaps? Who is 59starburst?
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Fly by night Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Jul-28-05 09:11 AM
Response to Reply #3
4. Do a DU search for that handle and PM him/her.
That's the only idea that comes to mind. Maybe they're still around, just in other forums. (I'll bet you folks have already thought of that.)
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autorank Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Jul-29-05 02:26 AM
Response to Reply #4
5. I did--no user profile, no recent posts. Just a "drive by" version
which seems to work remarkably well. What I like about this is that it takes on existing data, results, which cannot be changed. Call me "hopeful" but if this theory proved out, it would be explosive.

59sunburst WHERE ARE YOU?
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