Proving Election Fraud: Phantom Voters, Uncounted Votes, and the National Exit Poll

[groovedaddy]

In 2004, John Kerry appeared to be a clear winner based on the exit polls. But the recorded vote counts deviated sharply from the polls and were too one-sided to attribute to mere chance. The political pundits claimed the polls “behaved badly”, calling the three million Bush margin a “mandate”. They failed to report the impossible late adjustments made to the National, Florida and Ohio exit polls that were necessary to force them to match the recorded vote.

Spreadsheet-wielding Internet bloggers analyzed the statistical anomalies. Online election forums were aflame with debates about state and national pre-election and exit polls, Bush approval ratings, margins of error, non-response, past vote recall, correlation between vote swing from 2000 and the exit poll shift, the counter-intuitive Bush gain over his 2000 vote share in urban locations compared to the decline in rural areas (the "Urban Legend").

But the “Smoking Gun” was the Final National Exit Poll, which indicated that there were four million more returning Bush 2000 voters than were alive in 2004. This “phantom voter” anomaly has never been discussed by pundits in the media or political scientists in academia, even though similar anomalies occurred in 1988, 1992 and 2008. The media pundits still claim that the recorded vote is correct (and the exit polls wrong) despite millions of uncounted votes in every election.

This book is a comprehensive resource for analyzing presidential elections from 1968 to 2008, including the 2006 midterms. It is written for readers of virtually all backgrounds. The only requirement is an inquisitive, open mind. The True Vote is estimated using basic statistical modeling that is for some reason avoided in the media and academia. Internet links to several election analysis spreadsheet models are provided in the book and are free to download.

http://www.authorhouse.com/bookstore/ItemDetail.aspx?bookid=66793

[LiberalFighter]

1. I want to know where those phantom voters voted.

Were there pockets of them or was it spread out to reduce it from sticking out?

[LastLiberal in PalmSprings]

4. The Phantom Zone, of course...

image

[yowzayowzayowza]

8. LOL. A fellow disciple. n/t

[Bitwit1234]

2. I'd like to know why Ohio votes went thru the servers run by Rove in the whitehouse

Why would any votes be counted thru as server that was the same that rove and the republicans used as their email source. No one can explain.

[OnTheOtherHand]

3. status: false

TIA knows damn well that his so-called "'phantom voter' anomaly" has been discussed by political scientists in academia. He just doesn't like how the discussion turned out. If anyone wants to try again, by all means, step right up.

(It's true that millions of votes go uncounted in presidential elections, although TIA hasn't succeeded in tying that to the exit poll discrepancies.)

[Wilms]

5. You New Yorkers are ALWAYS in SUCH a hurry.

TIA's had what? Like 5 years to figure this out? Give him a break. He;s obviously working very hard on this. As recently as March there was an update to the analysis.

If it weren't for all you DOUBTERS wasting TipToe's time with your questions, I suspect this whole thing with 2004 could have been wrapped up by Obama's inauguration AND we'd be switching ALL Federal election voting systems to the TEPA8000 (TIA's Exit Poll Analyzer).

[OnTheOtherHand]

6. I actually bought the book

I think I propelled him to something like #236,000 on the Amazon.com list, but right now he's back at #443,685. I'm used to paying more attention to TIA than most of his fans, but that seems extreme.

The book looks like mostly a reformatting of DU posts. (Remember tommcintyre? Take a trip down memory lane! Febble? Thanks for contributing so many pages to TIA's book -- I'll thank you, since I somehow doubt he has.) But mostly it looks like a really, really long TIA essay (aaaaaauuuuuuuuuugggggggggghhhhhhhhhh...), so I'm probably overlooking some new stuff.

[tiptoe]

7. Amazon's computer "glitch" (now fixed) may have caused the drop; the book is now listed. Also on B&N

...it is ranked #3 of 79 "election fraud" books.
http://productsearch.barnesandnoble.com/search/results.aspx?WRD=election+fraud&STORE=BOOK&BOX=election+fraud&SZE=10&SRT=SA

The B&N rank is #1 of 30 "exit polls" books.
http://productsearch.barnesandnoble.com/search/results.aspx?WRD=exit+polls&STORE=BOOK&BOX=exit+polls&SZE=10&SRT=SA

[OnTheOtherHand]

10. well, that is sort of the problem

I agree that the "glitch" could account for the microtrend in the Amazon rating, but the actual B&N sales rank right now is 152,315. Getting outsold by two John Fund books, neither of them very new, doesn't evince reaching a large audience. TIA may presently have a lock on the "exit poll" audience, but evidently that isn't very big.

As a point of reference, the current B&N sales rank of We Never Went to the Moon is 159,128, and apparently that has been out since 1976.

Now, there's no shame in ranking 152,315. We all know that a hefty share of those other 152,000 books are craptacular, and truth isn't determined by sales numbers. However, I can't think of anyone on earth other than TIA himself who is actually willing to defend his arguments. Probably the process of refining his own personal echo chamber hasn't made him any more persuasive or accessible.

[WillYourVoteBCounted]

9. oh