Most of y'all here know Tennessee's recent election integrity-related history: our passage of a paper ballots law (the TN Voter Confidence Act) in 2008 (but only after a compromise to delay implementation to 2010); the "unexpected" 2008 seizure of our state legislature by Republicans for the first time since Reconstruction; having the TVCA challenged immediately and then (once again) delayed until 2012; and a puzzling and perhaps predictable series of incredible election results beginning and continuing thereafter. As a result of all that, here is what happened in Tennessee last night, and why we'll never know why.
The discussion below is about the continuing incredible shift in our state legislature. Though this thread does not discuss it, our US Congressional delegation also went from 5-4 Dem to 7-2 Republican, including the loss of the most DINO DINO I know (Lincoln Davis) to a mentally unstable (and pug-ugly) reich-wing neophyte.
Go figure (or review the usual suspect below and the evidence trail above). FBN
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I. From the Nashville Scene blog last night and this morning, to give you a sense of the far-right shift in surreal time: (This is posted here with permission.)
http://www.nashvillescene.com/pitw/archives/2010/11/02/republicans-see-history-making-night-in-state-houseVoters Paint State House Red: GOP Grabs 64-Seat Majority
Posted by Jeff Woods on Tue, Nov 2, 2010 at 8:26 PM
Update: Columbia's Ty Cobb and Harriman's Dennis Ferguson are the first state House Democratic incumbents to go down tonight. Both lost to women—Cobb to right-wing Christian author and motivational speaker Sheila Butt and Ferguson to Julia Hurley, an ex-Hooters’ waitress whose campaign probably took off like a rocket when this picture of her circulated in the district.
Update II: Republican David Alexander has beaten Democratic Rep. George Fraley of Winchester.
Update III: Another House Democrat loses: Cookeville's Henry Fincher has been defeated by the GOP's Ryan Williams. “The president poisoned the well,” the always quotable Fincher says. “State-wide people just aren’t voting for Democrats.”
Update IV: Don Miller has defeated Larry Mullins to give Republicans another House seat—the one vacated by Democrat Rep. John Litz.
Update V: Seven more Democrats appear to have lost in the House—Les Winningham, Butch Borchert, Judy Barker, Mark Maddox, Eddie Yokley, Jim Hackworth and Stratton Bone. Republicans now have gained a whopping 12 seats. That would give the GOP an invulnerable 62-seat majority.
Update VI: The GOP gains two more seats—Sam Coleman has conceded to Jim Gotto in the race to succeed Ben West in the state House from Hermitage. And Murfreesboro's Kent Coleman has lost to Mike Sparks.
Update VII: In a big surprise, Doug Jackson has become the only Senate Democrat to lose. Champion of the guns-in-bars law, Jackson was the freakiest of all gun freaks in the legislature, but it didn't save him from the Republican wave.
Update VIII: GOP chairman Chris Devaney—"For the first time in modern history, Republicans are going to lead at every level of government in this state. This is truly a historic day and Republicans are honored that voters have put their trust in our party to lead Tennessee.
State House GOP leaders are predicting an even bigger-than-expected night for Republicans. "I think we will" do better than the two- or three-seat gain that many were predicting for Republicans in the state House, Rep. Beth Harwell says.
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II. This is the Scene's post-election blog thread this morning: (This is a very comprehensive and revealing interview that all y'all should read.)
http://www.nashvillescene.com/pitw/archives/2010/11/03/if-gandhi-were-a-tennessee-democrat-would-he-lose-too If Gandhi Were a Democrat, Would He Lose Too?
Posted by Jeff Woods on Wed, Nov 3, 2010 at 12:27 PM
A shell-shocked Mike Turner, chairman of the state House Democrats’ political caucus, sat down with reporters this morning to try to explain what the hell happened to his party in yesterday’s elections. Surprising even themselves, Republicans gained a whopping 14 seats in the House and took a 64-seat majority. The silver lining for Democrats? No need to worry about gerrymandering anymore. Voters took care of that.
The election left only nine House Democrats from the hinterlands, all but decimating the party’s once-mighty rural presence. Survivors have been cornered in cities, and 15 of the 34 remaining House Democrats are black.
In typical Tennessee Democratic fashion, Turner conveniently blamed the whole disaster on unpredictable swings in voter passion.
“If Mahatma Gandhi had been a Democrat yesterday, he probably would have gotten killed if he was in the wrong district,” Turner said. “It’s just a tough time to be a Democrat right now.”....
Q: What were you most surprised about?
Turner: I was totally shocked at Jim Hackworth and Stratton Bone. I didn’t see either one of those coming at all. As a matter of fact, Jim’s probably got a lot of money left in the bank to be honest about it. Mark Maddox too. That was totally off the radar screen. I didn’t see that one coming at all. Mark just got elected president-elect of the NCSL, which is a national organization that he will no longer be able to serve as. We lost some real good legislators. Whether you are a Republican or a Democrat, I think most people at the end of the day would like to see good quality people in these positions. We lost some real good ones yesterday....
(Again, visit the link and read a very comprehensive, and incredulous interview with a shell-shocked Dem leader in our legislature. It will not be pretty, but it will sound familiar.)
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III. This is my response (posted on the Gandhi blog post at the above link. Y'all come and say something your own selves at the same place):
If we keep voting on the same equipment, then -- yes -- Gandhi, Lincoln, even Jesus would likely lose TN elections if they had Ds by their names. Stranger things have happened (like Shelby County, August 2010).
Riddle me this: This is the second straight TN election when the intensity of the right-shift has surprised everyone -- political scientists, pundits, even the Republican spokespeople themselves. The second straight election where long-term, local, well-respected, well-connected moderate to conservative rural Dems have gotten rick-rolled in numbers that defy reasonable explanation.
What are "they" surprised about?
-- That a state with 8% more citizens self-identifying as Democrats than Republicans would vote like just the opposite OR
-- That the people programming the voting machines would be so audacious --- again.
Fortunately for "them" (and specifically because of "them"), we have no way of knowing.
It's not who casts the votes that counts, it's who counts them.
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I am thinking of making this its own thread here. What say ye?