On Thursday 2nd, FIFA will go through the process of choosing the hosts for the 2018 and 2022 World Cups. No-one knows who will win, because essentially what it boils down to is the mood of the delegates and the amount of brown envelopes passed under the hotel room doors the night before.
Here are the bidders:
2018: All the bidders are European.Amsterdam (2 stadiums), Rotterdam (2 stadiums), Heerenveen, Enschede, Eindhoven, Antwerpen, Genk, Liège, Charleroi.
Final venue:
Probably a new 82.000 seater in Rotterdam.
London (3 Stadiums), Manchester (2 Stadiums), Newcastle, Liverpool, Birmingham, Sunderland, Nottingham, Bristol, Sheffield, Leeds, Milton Keynes, Plymouth.
Final venue: Wembley
Moscow (3 Stadiums), Podolsk, St. Petersburg, Kaliningrad, Kazan, Nizhny Novgorod, Yaroslavl, Samara, Volgograd, Sochi, Saransk, Krasnodar, Rostov-On-Don, Yekaterinburg.
Final venue: Grand Sports Arena of the Luzhniki Olympic Complex (Love that name)
Madrid (2 Stadiums), Barcelona (2 Stadiums), Lisboa (2 Stadiums), Valencia, Badajoz, Sevilla, Bilbao, Porto, Zaragoza, Santander, Malaga, A Coruna, San Sebastian, Valladolid, Vigo, Murcia, Alicante, Gijon.
Final Venue: Santiago Bernabèu
My comment for 2018: My favourites here are England. They hosted the last one in 1966, and they still go on about how great it was that time when they actually managed to win. They are extremely motivated (i.e. they are willing to influence delegates), have applied to host many tournaments but never got the nod. They have most of the stadiums and infrastructure already in place and will make a proper footballing atmosphere after the 2010 Vuvuzela cup and the 2014 in Brazil. The games will also be very compact in a relatively small country.
Outsiders: Russia, who are looking to host just about every international event imaginable, and are willing to use heaps of money to do it. Drawbacks include local corruption, long distances (but this was no problem for South Africa apparently).
2022: Asia, Oceania, and The USA.Sydney (2 Stadiums), Melbourne, Perth, Brisbane, Adelaide, Blacktown, Canberra, Gold Coast, Townsville, Geelong.
Final venue: Probably Stadium Australia:
Osaka (2 Stadiums), Tokyo (2 Stadiums), Toyota, Yokohama, Saitama, Fukuroi, Ōita, Niigata, Kashima, Kobe, Sapporo.
Final Venue: Probably a new stadium in Osaka or Yokohama International Stadium
Doha (6 Stadiums, Lusail, Umm Salal, Al Khor, Ash-Shamal, Al Wakrah, Al Ryyan.
Final Venue: Probably Lusail National Stadium (Planned)
Seoul (2 Stadiums), Busan, Incheon (2 Stadiums), Daegu, Daejeon, Gwanju, Ulsan, Suwon, Goyang, Jeonju, Cheonan, Jeju.
Final Venue: World Cup Stadium
Los Angeles (2 Stadiums), New York, Dallas (2 Stadiums), DC, Miami, Houston, Kansas City, Denver, Tampa, Boston, Seattle (2 Stadiums), Phoenix, Atlanta, Baltimore, Philadelphia, Nashville, San Diego, Indianapolis.
Final Venue: Los Angeles Stadium (if built).
Aqually a pretty weak field. Where's China?
Quatar's bid is certainly interesting. 1,6 million people on a tiny island in the Persian Gulf. Incredibly high temparatures in June, and they used Albert Speer's son as the stadium arcitects. Just about every venue has to be built. Issues with alcohol, public shows of affection (which might happen during a World Cup), etc. Still, it's one of the most progressive gulf states.
South Korea hosted the World Cup with Japan in 2002, so they will have a hard time getting it again. South Korea promises to try and involve North Korea in hosting the games. Good luck with that.
To me it comes down to the US or Australia. The US hosted it in 1994, Australia has never hosted a world cup. Australia has the enthusiasm and the facilities. Rose Bowl and LA Memorial Coliseum are looking obsolete and unfit for soccer, if they really want the final venue in LA they better build the new stadium. A US world cup is probably capable of generating a lot of money for FIFA. There are issues with a lack of local enthusiasm (if you lived in New York or LA in 1994, you would not know they were hosting the world cup), heat (was a problem in 94), and Pacific times might be a problem for European and Asian TV viewers.
My favourite: Australia, nice temparatures there during the winter, would generate lots of local enthusiasm, and Oceania have never hosted a world cup.
Still, with the corruption in FIFA, who knows? Maybe Quatar has a shot?