Although there was nothing over the weekend to knock your proverbial socks off, there were a few races that could steer you toward a horse or two as potential Derby material. With the Southwest Stakes having just been run, we’ll briefly discuss the race and go over it in more detail next week.
Old Fashioned passed his first test in fine order, showing the ability to sit off the pace and then put in a winning move. He basically did everything expected of him, and put away a brilliant colt in Silver City, who was intent on getting the lead, stretching out from 5 1/2 furlongs. It must be noted that Old Fashioned went his first half in :46 1/5 an last half in :51 1/5. Horses don’t seem to come home fast at Oaklawn, but it still would be more reassuring to see him close a little quicker next time. One horse who did come home fast was Rachel Alexandra, who blew her field away in the Martha Washington Stakes the day before. Off much slower fractions than the Southwest, she came home her last quarter in :24 2/5, and her final time of 1:36 2/5 was a full second fast than Old Fashioned's. Rachel Alexandra, by the way, is bred to run all day.
The bright spot, as pointed out by At the Races’ Steve Byk, is that Smarty Jones in his Southwest victory ran his two half-miles in the identical :46 1/5 and :51 1/5, and he didn’t turn out too shabby. Of course, Smarty bounced back and ran a 108 Beyer in the Rebel Stakes, coming home in much faster time, so Old Fashioned as something to shoot for.
With fractions of :22 2/5 and :45 4/5, it was surprising to see Poltergeist racing in fourth, five lengths off the pace. Those fractions apparently took their toll on him and he had nothing in the stretch. The only horse to close from out of it was Flat Out, who ran a good race to finish fourth, missing third by a neck. He jumped in the air at the break and found himself far back in last and then unleashed a powerful late run. He definitely is one to watch in the upcoming stakes at Oaklawn.
http://www.bloodhorse.com/horse-racing/articles/49261/ky-derby-trail-southwest--middle-east?id=49261