the AA/gay vote issue overall:
"There were about half-million more Black Republican presidential voters in 2004 than in 2000 – bad news, but not nearly as pivotal a development as claimed by the GOP, the corporate media and even some segments of the Black press. The conventional wisdom is that Black churchgoers joined religious whites in defense of “moral values” and, especially, in opposition to gay marriage, which was on the ballot in a number of “battleground” states. Republicans go further, proclaiming that the 11 percent GOP slice of the Black electorate in 2004 (up from 9 percent or less in 2000) is proof that a “new Black conservatism” is emerging – a phenomenon supposedly fueled by, depending on the “spin” of the moment, disenchanted younger Blacks or highly religious older African Americans or comfortable middle-class Blacks of all ages.
Nothing of the kind has occurred. This election cycle was the most expensive and intensive in recent history – it brought out lots of everybody, voters of all sorts. And lots of people were paid to turn out voters, most notably a class of Black preachers coaxed out of the apolitical woodwork by millions of dollars in faith-based bribes from the Bush administration. The Black vote soared from 10.5 million (including about a million Republicans) in 2000 to 13.2 million in 2004, an increase of more than 25 percent. By ’s calculations, almost 20 percent of the new Black voters were Republicans, boosting the GOP’s share of a much larger 2004 Black vote to 11 percent, including about 1.5 million Republicans.
Put another way, the increase of roughly half a million Black Republicans among the 2.6-plus million additional Black voters in 2004 amounted to twice as many additional Black votes as Bush would have gotten had he been kept to 9 percent Black support, as in 2000. With 11 percent of a much larger Black electorate, Bush picked up about a quarter million more Black votes than he should have. In raw numbers, that’s not an eye-popping return on the huge Republican investment in propaganda and bribery in the Black community. "
http://www.blackcommentator.com/114/114_cover_election.html