Is racism responsible for the projected small growth of the African-American population?

[arundhatiroyfan]

I've come across several articles stating that the growth of the American-American population will remain rather insignificant in relation to the total population of the USA till 2050. In contrast to that the percentage of Asian-Americans and Latinos among the total US population will increase considerably till this date (excluding white Latinos). Native Americans are not mentioned in the articles.
Why do you think this projection will possibly unfold?
Is racism to blame?
One article I've come across:
http://www.diversityinc.com/public/311.cfm

[Fredda Weinberg]

1. I assume it's due to female education, which typically suppresses fertitlity

I'm afraid yours says more about you than the current status of African American women. It's hard, but they're kickin'.

[TomInTib]

2. Well, when you have such a large chunk of the black, adult, male population

incarcerated or otherwise entangled in the "correctional" system...

And a majority of those that aren't tend to a higher demographic (and, as a result, fewer children), the population will hold steady.

That's part of my take on it, anyway.

[Kahuna]

3. People can't make babies if they're in prision. nt

[mrreowwr_kittty]

4. I'm sure immigration is a big factor in the higher growth ratios of Latino and Asian-Americans. nt

[Juche]

5. I've heard it'll grow

Alot of it is probably due to the low total fertility rate of developed nations. The white & black population won't grow much over the next 40 years.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_countries_and_territories_by_fertility_rate

A rate higher than 2.1 will (slowly) grow the population. But once a country gets healthcare & a reasonable standard of living, TFR drops to 3.0 or less.

Most of the growth seems to come from immigrants like latinos and asians.

http://www.census.gov/population/www/pop-profile/natproj.html

The U.S. population is becoming more diverse by race and Hispanic origin.
The race and Hispanic-origin2 distribution of the U.S. population is projected to become more diverse. As the Black; Asian and Pacific Islander; American Indian, Eskimo, and Aleut; and Hispanic-origin populations increase their proportions of the total population, the non-Hispanic White population proportion would decrease. By the turn of the century, the non-Hispanic White proportion of the population is projected to decrease to less than 72 percent with about 13 percent Black; 11 percent Hispanic origin; 4 percent Asian and Pacific Islander; and less than 1 percent American Indian, Eskimo, and Aleut. By 2050, the proportional shares shift quite dramatically. Less than 53 percent would be non-Hispanic White; 16 percent would be Black; 23 percent would be Hispanic origin; 10 percent would be Asian and Pacific Islander; and about 1 percent would be American Indian, Eskimo, and Aleut.

Non-Hispanic Whites, the slowest growing group, are likely to contribute less and less to the total population growth in this country. Although non-Hispanic Whites make up almost 75 percent of the total population, they would contribute only 35 percent of the total population growth between 1990 and 2000. This percentage of growth would decrease to 23 percent between 2000 and 2010, and 14 percent from 2010 to 2030. The non-Hispanic White population would contribute nothing to population growth after 2030 because it would be declining in size.

According to the middle-series projection, the Black population would increase almost 5 million by 2000, almost 10 million by 2010, and over 20 million by 2030. The Black population would double its present size to 62 million by 2050.
The fastest growing race groups will continue to be the Asian and Pacific Islander population with annual growth rates that may exceed 4 percent during the 1990's. By the turn of the century, the Asian and Pacific Islander population would expand to over 12 million, double its current size by 2010, triple by 2020, and increase to more than 5 times its current size, to 41 million by 2050.

[aquart]

6. WHY aren't you considering racism applicable to Asians and Hispanics?

Are we merely discussing YOUR bias?

[SteinbachMB]

7. No

As for Latinos, they will increase due to the success of young illegal immigrants, more than anything else.

[flashl]

8. 40 years after King's death

Jackson hails first steps into promised land

United States Civil rights leader's protege says African Americans still have a long way to go

A quarter of African Americans live in poverty, compared with 8% of whites; seven out of 10 black boys drop out before finishing high school; in several states such as New Jersey black children are 60 times more likely to be expelled from school than whites; there are more black men in jail than in college; and the most shocking statistic: on average black men die more than six years earlier than their white equivalents.

"People of colour have higher infant mortality rates, shorter life expectancy, greater unemployment, less education. We pay more for less. That is our characteristic 40 years later."

Other factors: environment justice (producing cancer belts, asthmas, etc.), healthcare disparities (25 years of reporting in Medical Journals), and modern day medical apartheid (AIDS, Hepatitis, skin eating bacteria and other disease are rampant in jails and prisons and no CDC follow-up into communities where inmates return with no healthcare).

[bjorkfan]

9. Other factors: 1, the increase in interracial marriage...

and the resulting generation are more likely to define themselves as biracial rather than just black. Secondly, American-born black women and American-born white women probably have the same or similar fertility rate, while immigrants from traditional cultures tend to have larger families.