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We will be in deep S**t in about 1.5 million years.....

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n2doc Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Mar-15-10 01:24 PM
Original message
We will be in deep S**t in about 1.5 million years.....
Edited on Mon Mar-15-10 01:35 PM by n2doc
Orange Dwarf Confirmed to be On Likely Collision Course With Our Solar System
Gliese 710 should arrive sometime within the next 1.5 million years
By Jeremy HsuPosted 03.12.2010 at 1:57 pm



Our solar system's 'hood may get a bit rougher sometime during the next 1.5 million years. An astronomer has given an 86 percent chance for a neighboring star to smash into the frozen Oort Cloud surrounding the outskirts of the solar system, and may scatter some comets toward Earth, Technology Review reports.

That's not the only close encounter for our sun, according to Vadim Bobylev at the Pulkovo Astronomical Observatory in St. Petersburg, Russia. He combined data from several databases of stars and found at least nine more stars that have already swung past the sun or will do so in the future.

The data on Gliese 710, an orange dwarf star, comes from position and velocity measurements of about 100,000 stars in the Hipparcos Catalogue published in 1997. Updates for the Hipparcos data in 2007 allowed Bobylev to calculate the likelihood that Gliese 710 might smash into our solar system.

A hail of comets sweeping toward Earth from that collision could pose a problem, given the relatively pathetic investment in detecting incoming space threats. The loose chunks of ice debris within a comet's gaseous body might also prove more of a nightmare than solid asteroids, and scientists still don't know exactly how to deal with the rockier cousins.

http://www.popsci.com/science/article/2010-03/incoming-star-could-send-shower-comets-flying-toward-earth
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liberal N proud Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Mar-15-10 01:25 PM
Response to Original message
1. What are the odds that the human race will survive on this planet that long?
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nebenaube Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Mar-15-10 01:29 PM
Response to Reply #1
2. nil n/t
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Deep13 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Mar-15-10 01:33 PM
Response to Reply #1
4. We should leave a note for the super-intelligent ostrich people...
...who succeed us.
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n2doc Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Mar-15-10 01:36 PM
Response to Reply #4
5. More likely they'll be Roach or Ant descendants... n/t
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indepat Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Mar-15-10 03:54 PM
Response to Reply #1
9. Somewhere nil and none?
:)
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ananda Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Mar-15-10 03:58 PM
Response to Reply #1
10. I wouldn't bet money past 200 years from now.
Seriously.
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qazplm Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Mar-15-10 11:17 PM
Response to Reply #10
11. based on what would you bet
that not a single human would be left in 200 years?

Even if global warming were ten times worse than expected, even if there were nuclear holocaust on top of it, the odds of the entire human race becoming extinct in 200 years barring a global asteroid strike or some other sort of extinction level event are astronomical.
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Phoonzang Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-16-10 07:59 AM
Response to Reply #1
13. The human race won't be here, but something we evolved into or
genetically engineered ourselves into might.
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47of74 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Mar-15-10 01:33 PM
Response to Original message
3. No prob, we'll put a note in to have Starfleet dispatch the Enterprise...
...they'll solve the problem right away.
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YankeyMCC Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Mar-15-10 02:09 PM
Response to Original message
6. Duck! No wait Now...No wait Now!
no wait, wait....
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bergie321 Donating Member (797 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Mar-15-10 03:00 PM
Response to Original message
7. The bugs
Are launching their attack!
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donco Donating Member (717 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Mar-15-10 03:09 PM
Response to Original message
8. I wonder if we will have single payer by then? nt
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pokerfan Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-16-10 03:33 AM
Response to Original message
12. Thanks
I added a reminder to my Google Calendar.
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denbot Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Mar-18-10 01:14 AM
Response to Original message
14. I wonder if previous stellar close passes were associated with extinction events.
That might make an interesting paper.
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Ganja Ninja Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Mar-18-10 01:57 PM
Response to Reply #14
15. That would be interesting to know ....
which stars have had close encounters with the solar system in the past and how long ago.
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