I didn't check all your facts for perfect accuracy but I can say off hand that you are correct in the general tone of what you wrote. If we do the MARS mission the same way the moon missions were done then absolutely I agree that it would be a disastrous fantasy, as well as a monumental waste of time and money that could (and should) be used here on Earth. But...
It seems as if you did not take the suggestion to read post #3, wherein I explained how robotic construction vehicles would be sent to Mars but operated (
just as the smart rovers that are there now) by sending detailed commands from Earth and the computer in the robot figures out how to best carry out that command. In the case of the rovers, NASA sends coordinates to where they want the rover to go and it figures out how to get there, avoiding rocks and whatnot to safely drive itself to the destination. If it encounters something it can't figure out (or something interesting that has been pre-defined) it stops and sends a message back to Earth asking for updated instructions. Now take those concepts and apply them to
a group of semi-autonomous robotic construction vehicles. The operators on Earth would need to tell the vehicle to pick up component A, take it to the correct spot, then connect it to component B. The robot would then be responsible for carrying out those instructions while 1) avoiding obstacles and other robots, 2) taking the shortest, most efficient route that doesn't violate rule #1, 3) then figuring out how to attach the two components so that the engineering plans are followed to the letter.
You're right about shelters needing to be built to withstand the higher radiation and greater risk of meteorite impacts due to Mars' thin atmosphere, the temperatures, and the hostility/deadliness of the environment. For that reason
I reject immediately any thought that unshielded shelters could be acceptable. That is "the skies will surely always be blue" thinking and flies in the face of reality. On Mars, there are planet-wide dust storms that last for months. Can we sent humans to Mars and expect solar panels to provide the energy that will keep them alive? No, that would be a death sentence during one of those dust storms (and the solar panels might even become damaged beyond repair by the high velocity particles of dust). Therefore, we will have to put aside our childish fears about nuclear power because only a nuclear reactor could keep humans alive on Mars. Solar panels that can be folded up and protected with a removable cover would be a good source of energy to power the non-critical systems and provide energy for rovers and robots, they would need to be put away before the dust storm hits.
For shelter there are a number of options. Soil could be excavated, then prefab structures could be erected (complete with multiple airlocks to interconnect them and provide ingress and egress), then covered with the soil removed previously. The Martian soil can be sprayed with the right mixture of water and minerals found right there on Mars to form a hardened shell over the area to keep future wind storms from exposing the structures and also to provide protection from micro-meteorites. It is also possible to use concentrated sunlight to melt the top few inches of soil to form a hardened rock layer.
Some have suggested that we should build our shelters into the side of cliffs or lava tubes. That might be one way to have a shelter that is definitely well protected. It would require some rethinking of how to do construction: how do you get materials and robots down the side of a cliff and once there how do they dig out the shelter. Doable but needs some pretty detailed advance planning.
However they eventually decide to build it,
the robots need to do all the work and have the whole thing completed, airlocks in place, oxygen from Martian soil pumped in, hydroponic fruit and vegetable production needs to be fully operational, additional plants that will produce oxygen, install configure and test everything the humans will use when they finally arrive (lights, computers, display units, communications gear, etc), then the whole thing needs to be allowed to sit for months or a year with continuous testing to make sure that the systems are stable and no contamination occurs.
The experience with BioSphere 2 tells us that we do not have full control of everything (the concrete and unanticipated soil bacteria activity reduced the oxygen level till it got critically low, and more oxygen had to be pumped in to make up for the loss). That's why robots need to build, set up, supply and simulate use of the facility. After 1 or more years of continuous operation and scrutiny, then and only then should humans leave Earth orbit bound for Mars.
One thing you may be interested in knowing is that the
Vasimir Plasma Rocket will enable travel to Mars in 39 days. Using chemical rockets to get to Mars may be ok for supplies or robots but should never be used to send humans. The increased time means increased supplies of oxygen, food, water, etc., thus increasing the weight which increases the fuel needed which increases the weight... an unnecessary spiral of wasted resources. Humans are protected from radiation during the trip because their stores of water are in tanks that surround the spacecraft. Additionally, an artificial magnetic field can be created outside the spacecraft by extending electromagnets on long booms so the magnetic field surrounds the spacecraft but does not penetrate to the interior. This would be more effective than the water tanks but would require a lot of power. Personally, I prefer to err on the side of caution where human lives are concerned. This spacecraft would be the "mother ship" and would never land on any planet, it would remain in orbit around either Mars or Earth when not in transit. Landing craft would take the human crews up or down to the planet's surface as needed.
The good news is that we now know that
Martian soil contains the components we need to make rocket fuel so the landing craft could be fully refueled on Mars for the trip back up to the mother ship. Martian soil can even be used for growing the plants we would need. It contains important metals as well so the soil can be processed in a number of ways to separate almost everything we need for a permanent colony on Mars. A few things would need to be brought to Mars via supply ships, yes, but by using the resources that are in abundance on Mars we could keep that to a minimum.
PS, here's one example of the stupidity of current thinking on Mars habitation:
http://ares.jsc.nasa.gov/HumanExplore/Exploration/EXLibrary/DOCS/EIC016.HTML... the astronauts fly their habitat to Mars and then live in it, exposed to the Martian surface conditions. Pretty pictures cannot mask a failure to think of the consequences and outcomes of failed planning.