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"Assuming (as I do) consciousness is totally tied to the physical brain (either directly or arising as an emergent property)..."
I am reminded of the difficulty of predicting the weather, which led to the "Chaos Theory." To duplicate human consciousness--or, rather, specifically ONE human consciousness, one person's personality--I think there is more to the problem than just replicating neurons. There are two components of "personality" that we hardly understand at all: memory and social interaction. And memory isn't just "remembering" incidents and people. It is a VERY complex function of the brain that starts as soon as the brain is formed in the womb and maybe before, and involves EVERYTHING that that person has ever perceived through the senses or THOUGHT (combinations of thoughts, reason, creative imaginings, was told, teachings, dreaming and its collaborative functions with the waking mind, experimental activities as a child and as an adult, various sorting systems and sensory triggering systems for various memories, etc., etc., etc.). What you have to replicate is one of the MOST COMPLEX and POORLY UNDERSTOOD systems in the Universe.
And secondly, I think human brains are connected to other human brains in ways that we have virtually no understanding of. A person does not develop in isolation, first of all. A person develops by means of a VERY COMPLEX interaction with others. So I don't think we can view or replicate a human personality IN ISOLATION--or, if we ever get to the point of being able to replicate neurons and some brain systems, what will be produced is an odd, out of whack entity, maybe even tending to the psycopathic and sociopathic, i.e., an UN-integrated individual. This is hard to discuss because it is based mostly on my own intuition--although it is very clear that human beings in isolation do not function well, and babies and children suffer grave damage from, and even perish from, isolation (from lack of human interaction). Human interaction is an ESSENTIAL part of the functioning of our brains; and it cannot occur without having OTHER brains around that are able to, and agree to, interact. There are further consequences of this--such as human cooperation for survival and for happiness.
To replicate human personalities--that is, to reproduce the "same person"--will require identifying, understanding and replicating these two extremely complex functions of the brain--memory and social interaction, and, as for the latter, it may be quite impossible, or impossible in today's scientific terms. Psychic phenomena will have to be understood first. Are psychic phenomena a function of an individual brain OR a group of brains? When I think of my sister and a minute later she calls me, what is going on? When tribal women synchronize their menstrual cycles, what is going on? When new ideas are born simultaneously in different parts of the world, in quite different circumstances, what is going on? These are just a few examples of phenomena that we have been taught to ignore, dismiss, laugh off, ridicule--phenomena of collective consciousness that may point to a system of communication, brain to brain, that lay outside the parameters of current science. (Could have to do with our misperception of time or space--we perceive on a gross physical level, but we are made up of particles that don't operate according to our perceptions of time and space. Just a stab at a guess.)
The individual human brain is intimately tied to the community in which it has been conceived and into which it is born. If you create an entity--replicate a "person"--without those connective abilities (internally, as to memory) and externally (or brain to brain) as to community, do you not risk creating a monster, or at the least someone who is severely hampered as a human being? Is it POSSIBLE for human beings to replicate the vast complexities that make us who we are? We might well create a vastly complex system--we're certainly doing so with artificial intelligence--but replicating an existing human being is quite another thing. It is very like trying to model the weather: it has "chaotic" components that are NOT replicable--i.e., a butterfly landing on a desert in China "causing" a hurricane in Nicaragua. We can certainly "create" weather. We CANNOT create it to our specifications. It is TOO complex.
We might end up being able to do PARTIAL replications--some of the same memories, some of the same abilities, some of the same physical characteristics--but I think the "whole" will elude us--unless some very new and unusual scientific breakthroughs occur. Can't rule that out, but extrapolating future science from current science, I think we will hit a barrier of complexity that we cannot overcome.
I have certainly thought that what previous generations and religious people call the "soul" is simply a word and concept to express our perception of the impenetrable complexity of a human being. The brain, memory and social interaction create this incredibly complex entity known as a "person" and we balk at thinking that that entity could disappear. It seems more than its parts--and perhaps IS more than its parts. "Soul" has a long, long history as a concept. It is certainly not tied to one religion, to major religions or to any particular philosophy. It is a UNIVERSAl recognition, by human beings, of SOMETHING that we are, that can't--or that we don't want to--perish.
I can't dismiss this as wishful thinking--any more than I can dismiss the concept of "God" or "Gods" because God or Gods cannot be proven to exist. It or they exist as a pervasive longing of the human mind and heart. What does this mean? Possibly it is projection--one of our more mysterious and tricky mental abilities. We, as a species, are trying to BECOME that which we imagine as already existing. And our species certainly displays a nearly unbroken history of the development of more and more god-like powers--and where that learning curve has sometimes been broken, it has always recovered, with current knowledge building upon past knowledge (an interesting parallel to individual human beings and their lifelong learning ability and passing of their learning on to their children). While some gods are representations of chaos or evil, most people reverence some all-wise, all-knowing, all-powerful, loving, beneficent concept of God, whether as father or mother or both. Are we trying to BECOME all-wise, all-knowing, all-powerful, loving and beneficent? Well, that could be essential to our survival--considering the current peril to Planet Earth. (We NEED the wisdom, knowledge and power to save it--or we and all of our brethren in the animal kingdom will perish.) Maybe the word "God" like the word "soul" is expressing something that we COULD be, if we get our act together, so to speak--the beneficent restorer of life systems on this planet and terraformers of other planets--givers of life, rather than warriors, polluters and destroyers.
To get there, though, I do think we have to understand ourselves as a collective entity. There has been quite a lot of learning in our history on this matter as well--the rise of the concept of all human beings as equal, for instance. Some backsliding, but the concept has always recovered and is now universal--at least as a concept, if not a practical reality. The notion of replicated "persons" gives me considerable concern that the choices involved in necessarily imperfect replication of a complex system that is way beyond our complete understanding, will be DIRECTED--by whoever controls the technology--and the result (after a lot of ugly experimentation) will not be beneficial at all. It will be totalitarian and inhuman, and may truncate what would have been our evolution into higher beings. If parts of people can be made to live forever, what parts will be chosen for that extended power, and by whom?
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