|
Edited on Fri Nov-26-04 03:58 PM by LDS Jock
For the purpose of this post, I am defining the south as the states comprising the former Confederacy, namely, Alabama, Arkansas, Florida, Georgia, Louisiana, Mississippi, North Carolina, South Carolina, Tennessee, Texas, and Virginia. The reasons for this is for convenience, since some would include West Virginia, Kentucky, possibly Missouri. Maryland was part of the old south at the time of the Civil War. Maybe even parts of Oklahoma qualify due to culture today. Rather than try to define the geography, I'm just using the states which seceded.
The eleven southern states now contain 153 electoral votes, up from 147 before the 2000 census. This is 57% of the number needed to elect a president, and a number which increases with each census. Not since the 1976 election of Jimmy Carter has the majority of the south voted for a Democrat who carried 10 of the 11. Before that, in the landslide of Johnson in 1964, when 6 states voted Democrat. Even Clinton, although able to carry a number of southern states, was unable to carry the majority, winning only four each term. 2004, 2000, 1988, 1984 no southern state voted Democrat. OK, yes there is the Florida 2000 fiasco, but it was recorded republican. Carter in 1980 only won Georgia. I know this is a lot of numbers, but I find it amazing just how dominated the south is by the republican party in recent times. For the reasons, I don't know why. I would like your opinions on this. I'm posting some of my own thoughts below.
Religion/Family Values-- The republican party seems to be dominated by the religious right and many of the people I know in the south are quite happy with that. They concentrate exclusively on the Democrats are baby killers due to stance on abortion and ignore many other issues. Also falling into this section would be churches which now seem to want to be involved in politics. That is a topic for a whole other thread.
Guns/NRA-- I know many of my brother (I have five) are certain the Democrats want to take all their guns away. The NRA has been quite successful in organizing and mobilizing their base to support republicans who campaign to protect their right to bear arms. Personally, I don't think the republicans really care about this issue, but only use them for political gain, much as they do the religious right.
Taxes-- This is an issue which is much broader than the south. People like hearing the message "I'm going to cut your taxes" whether or not it is a good idea. Everyone wants the things taxes pay for, such as schools, police, roads and such, but no one wants to pay for them. People complain about how are schools aren't as good as they should be, then vote down taxes to properly fund them. I don't consider myself the much feared tax-and-spend-liberal but I do recognize the benefits of taxes. Too many people think about the short-term benefits to their paycheck rather than long-term benefits for society.
Of course each of these issues is not exclusively a southern problem. Republicans have effectively used them in all parts of the country, but I believe Faith/Family Values and Guns/NRA are especially effective in the south. What can be done to sway more voters to see our side of the issue? What parts of our party could be maximized to appeal more to the south? While elections can be one without a single southern state, we are a national party and should be reaching out to all parts, including the south, not just to win elections but because its the right thing to do.
|