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Vista is nice. It's also nice and slow. The Genuine Windows Advantage is so intrusive that it ought to be illegal. It still complains about my legal copy of XP and I have to go through the half-hour phone ritual to reactivate it every time I upgrade a motherboard.
I went to the Vista Launch event. They gave me free copies of the OS and Office and a t-shirt (What, no XXL sizes for a community of programmers? Is Gates losing it?) and HP gave me a blinking necklace. There are some nice touches in the box. But that's all they are -- touches. There is no new real technology that I can tell. DotNet is still their Killer App du Jour, and it follows a lot of Linux library and repository models.
Right now, Microsoft has only one point in its favor -- aesthetics. MS has always had an edge in "user factors engineering". They paid for the best-designed fonts that money could buy, hired the best engineering help, and paid for artists who might otherwise have been employed silkscreening concert t-shirts for a living.
But even that edge isn't quite by as much as it used to be. XP is painfully slow on my PIII-1GHz box. Ubuntu running Gnome is fast, and Xubuntu (Ubuntu with XFCE) is amazing.
It took me a long time, but I'm nearly at 100% Linux now (Ubuntu Edgy). And I was a MS-shop developer with eight years of exclusively Windows experience. So I know, in detail, where all the weaknesses are. And they aren't any more than skin-deep at this point.
Oh, Linux crashes more often. It also recovers with less data loss -- by far. (Keep in mind, I'm a desktop developer, and I abuse the hell out of my OSes, knowing the public will be even harder on them!)
For example, you can't move most file browser columns around, and there are no services/daemons to calculate how much is in a folder. The fonts are just a tad less polished. It's tougher to capture WMA/ASF streams due to the aversion to all things Microsoft. And Windows still requires less of the newbie user at the cost of wresting control from the user.
Overall, Linux is now the better choice for even moderately sophisticated users. A few more shell-integration apps for the newbies and a bout of recession, and Linux will kick some serious ass in the marketplace.
Then, as soon as the kernel is modularized, Solaris/BSD/Linux will duke it out. But that's a different fight ...
--p!
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