Forum Name General Discussion: Politics
Topic subject New Poll: John Edwards LEADS IN IOWA 30% to Clinton's 26% to Obama's 24% (also leads second choices)
Topic URL
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=132x3859253#38592533859253, New Poll: John Edwards LEADS IN IOWA 30% to Clinton's 26% to Obama's 24% (also leads second choices)
Posted by jsamuel on Tue Dec-18-07 04:50 PM
http://www.southernpoliticalreport.com/storylink_1218_89.aspx Home / Stories / RSS
Breaking News
Edwards takes lead in InsiderAdvantage Iowa poll
By Tom Baxter
Southern Political Report
December 18, 2007 —
John Edwards has leapfrogged over his rivals Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama, and leads the Democratic field in Iowa, according to the latest InsiderAdvantage/Majority Opinion poll. In the Republican caucus race, Mike Huckabee continues to hold a narrow lead over Mitt Romney.
The race among the three top Democrats is extremely close, with the potential for any of them to finish first – or third.
Edwards leads with 30 percent in a poll of Democratic voters who said they intend to participate in the Jan. 3 presidential caucuses, followed by Clinton with 26 percent and Obama with 24 percent. When the sample was narrowed to the most likely caucus-goers, based on several questions, Obama leads Edwards by less than a percentage point with 27 percent, with Clinton in third place at 24 percent.
Edwards holds a significant advantage, however, among a group who could be key to the first contest of the presidential year: those who say their first choice is someone other than the top three. Under Iowa Democratic Party rules, candidates who poll less than 15 percent in the first vote at each caucus around the state are eliminated, and their supporters get a second chance to vote for another candidate.
Under both screens, Edwards leads as the second choice of these voters, with Clinton trailing Obama.