Forum Name General Discussion
Topic subject Edwards Camp Feeling Good About Iowa
Topic URL
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=389x2551043#25510432551043, Edwards Camp Feeling Good About Iowa
Posted by book_worm on Sat Dec-29-07 09:46 AM
...but two new polls show that the Democratic race for Iowa is a genuine three-way contest. A survey of 600 likely Democratic voters in Iowa by Strategic Vision on Dec 26 and 27 shows Obama with the support of 30 percent of those polled, Clinton with 29 percent and Edwards with 28 percent. Meanwhile, a new LA Times/Bloomberg poll shows Clinton with 29 percent, Obama with 26 percent and Edwards with 25 percent.
But perhaps most important in the Time/Bloomberg Poll, Edwards is the second choice of 23% of those who plan on going to the caucus, in particular those who prefer Sen. Biden and Gov. Richardson as their first choice. Those who prefer Sen. Dodd are split between Clinton and Edwards. In the Democratic caucuses, a candidate needs to be preferred by at least 15 percent of those in attendance...If they don't get that 15 percent, they are considered non-viable and their supporters may choose a different candidate to back.
...In 2004, most polls taken a few weeks before the caucuses showed him (Edwards) in fourth place...
he ended up with a strong second place showing.
http://www.npr.org/blogs/news/2007/12/edwards_campaign_feeling_good.html