John Edwards is the most electable Democrat
Posted on Fri, Dec 14, 2007 at 1:21 PM
Did you know that Fox News hasn't published a single poll showing a general election matchup between John Edwards and a Republican?
On the other hand, Fox has released 23 matchups featuring Hillary Clinton and a Republican -- and 10 with Barack Obama.
Fox must know what a comprehensive analysis of publicly available polling data shows: John Edwards is the most electable Democrat, leading Republicans by 8 points on average, compared to 5 points for Obama,
Over the last few days, I conducted a comprehensive analysis of all the publicly available polls showing general election matchups that I could get my hands on.
I explain the details of my methodology below, but the key point is that the analysis was limited to polls including all three Democrats matched up against the same Republicans. In other words, instead of comparing a Hillary Clinton - Rudy Giuliani matchup taken in March to a John Edwards - Mike Huckabee matchup from December, this analysis only makes apples-to-apples comparisons: Democrats matched up against the same Republicans in the same timeframe by the same polling organization.
As the above chart shows, since July 1, John Edwards consistently receives the highest support and holds the Republican to the lowest support. As a result, John Edwards would enter the 2008 general election with the largest lead of any Democrat.
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Take the example of Fox News, for example.
This year, Fox has released 33 polling general election polling matchups, 23 featuring Hillary Clinton and 10 featuring Barack Obama.
According to Fox's polling, Hillary Clinton wins 78% of the 23 matchups with an average margin of 6%, compared to 70% for Obama with a 4.7% margin.
The Jed Report:
http://www.jedreport.com/2007/12/john-edwards-is.htmlIt's is good news!