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It showed how you have to play this game for 39 days. say what you will, but I still think the decision to ax Russell so early cost them having numbers at the merge. Three of the Zapatere losses came after physical challenges that he could have helped that team out quite a bit. I still say that you never throw a challenge, you are sure to lose one eventually. Even if having russell only helped them win one of these things, they would still be up 2 people and could chose to sit Sarita or NAtalie in certain challenges. It was a HUGE mistake that will wind up costing them the game.
So finally, after seeing how much the decision to keep weak players in the game hurts, they ditch the bad challenge player in Sarita, only to have it come back and bite them because now its merge time. I would have gotten rid of Serita anyway last night, but now they have a less trustworthy player in Dave sittign around at merge time. I suspect they start to flip on each other to join Rob's team.
Rob and Ometepe are looking good. I suspect Grant, Rob and as long at Matt's foot lets him be strong, him too, will dominate the ICs. Once Ralph and Julie are ousted, whom I suspect Dave will offer up to save his skin, phillip will have to go. But Phillip is not smart enough to flip to give him a chance.
I think Rob has no chance to win this thing. Once its down to his girls and either Matt or Grant left, he will have to get the boot. He needs to win out ICs and sadly, at this age, I don;t know if rob can keep up with Grant and MAtt, who are clearly challenge gods. I just have to keep reminding myself, Rob’s got the immunity idol and he never had to play with them in his two real seasons. I suspect he never has to play it and he goes home in 4th, after the idol is no good, but we will see.
this has been a very good season and I LOVE redemption island.
One more thing, imagine Matt loses and Sarita come back, then they go in tied 6-6. then Rob's idol is HUGE.
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