Taking bets on a Kucinich presidency before 2021

[eridani]

This is someone on the Kucinich forum, not me.

I've proposed a claim at ideosphere on the probability Dennis will become president by 2021. I set that date because I think with some of the advances in medicine emerging (and the fact Dennis takes really good care of himself), that he could possibly become president at an older age than Reagan did.

http://www.ideosphere.com/fx-bin/Claim?claim=kuc21

I also think this will be an especially interesting historical document-because we can see how key events affect the perception of Dennis's chances of assuming the presidency. I fully expect this thing to start out trading rather low-on the order of 10-12%. What I think a lot of folks miss is Dennis's potential for political longevity. Dennis has enough loyal supporters that he can take a really long run strategy some folks just can't.

I think there is room for a series of claims here:
1) Dennis assumes higher office(Senator, governor, cabinet, VP). I put
the chances of that rather high right now.

2) We could construct claims that would show a higher office-or which higher office would affect his chances of getting elected.

3) We can also show how various plausible events affect the chance of Dennis becoming president.

[Desertrose]

1. personally...I don't think we can afford to wait that long

I am seeing all the scuttlebut about Wes Clark "announcing" and /or "setting the stage" for his 08 run....and I'm thinking....what will it take for DK to get the support to run.

I know Maeve has been trying to get us demcratic cats herded here...and I am wondering, too...what will it take for us to get things running for Dennis.......