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Edited on Wed May-11-11 11:40 AM by Mass
Aside from that, my guess is that the likelihood of SoS Kerry in 2012 will depend on whether the Senate remains Democrat or not. I remember Biden in 2004 when he was asked whether he would be SoS of Kerry or not. His answer was that, if he could be SFRC chair, he would prefer this because it would give him more freedom, but of course, if he is no more chair, and in particular if Lugar is beaten and Corker or somebody like that becomes chair, it may look different. But of course, this SoS position is for Obama to give. We already know that.
As for the 2012 election in MA, a few cautionary points. First, Warren is not the candidate and there is at least one other serious candidate, Khazei. I have yet to see polls showing who will be the favorite. And there is still a possibility that the person who will see his representative seat threatened will jump in the Senate race.
If Brown is beaten by anybody, he is done. This election is his to lose and there are other names in waiting who would want a shot at the apple. In addition, it is expected that well-known Democrats are sitting this election out because they want to be ready for a potential special election in 2013 that would not force them to leave their current position in order to run.
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