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I think John Paul did the Church a great disservice by appointing not only cardinals who shared his views, but also bishops. It was virtually unknown for the pope to personally oversee the appointment of bishops, but JP did, and only the most conservative were appointed. To my mind, this means that not only do we have a like- minded successor in Jozef Ratzinger, but the next pope, who will be elected from either the current crop of cardinals or those who may be elevated by Benedict from the current crop of bishops will also most likely be of a similar mindset.
The world has changed more rapidly than anyone could have imagined since the election of John Paul in 1978, and it will continue to do so - but we look like having a Church run by someone who will be marching to the beat of JP's outmoded drum. We'll be facing huge problems of climate change, over-population and most likely more countries with nuclear capability and rulers prepared to use them. We will need a 21st century pope with a broad agenda, prepared to allow bishops far greater autonomy over their own churches, not a mid-20th century pope desperately trying to claw back the lost authority of the pre-Vatican II Church.
If the Church can't make the jump from authority to humanity as the centrepiece of its agenda, I think it will come tumbling down - if not in this pope's lifetime, then the next, unless some very smart survival-oriented cardinals see the light.
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