Truthisall post #10,000: THE 2004 ELECTION COLLECTION

[Sweet Freedom]

... the election was a turkey.

Prologue: My Nov 1 Election Model Projection
http://www.geocities.com/electionmodel /

1
MEDIA WHORES, ANSWER THESE QUESTIONS - IF YOU DARE
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.ph...

2
Part I: To believe that Bush won the election, you must also believe...
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.ph...

3
Part II: To believe that Bush won the election, you must also believe...
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.ph...

4
PRELIMINARY ELECTION FRAUD PROBABILITY ANALYSIS
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.ph...

5
Based on the Battleground Exit Polls, the probability was 99.99% that Kerry would get over 50% of the vote. He ended up with 48.87%.
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.ph...

6
REVERSE the media SPIN: Kerry's 2-Party% vs. Bush - Exit Polls vs. Actual Vote
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.ph...

7
Exit Polls vs. Actual Vote: Who do you believe-CNN or your lying eyes?
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.ph...

8
1 out of 667! THE ODDS THAT KERRY WOULD LOSE OHIO AND FLORIDA
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.ph...

9
MY PROBABILITY ANALYSIS VINDICATED BY AN MIT MATH PROFESSOR
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.ph...

10
Remember this thread? Zogby called it for Kerry on Election Day!
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.ph...

11
The Florida Optical Scam Machines stole it for Bush
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.ph...

12
Lousy exit polls? They look pretty good to me...
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.ph...

13
WHAT'S THE MATTER WITH OHIO AND FLORIDA?
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.ph...

14
187 MILLION TO ONE: My calculation of the odds that Bush voting percent would deviate from the Exit Polls BEYOND THE MOE IN HIS FAVOR in 7 out of 18 Battleground states.
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.ph...

15
250 MILLION TO ONE: PROFESSOR FREEMAN’S CALCULATION OF THE ODDS THAT DEVIATIONS IN THE VOTES FROM THE EXIT POLLS WERE NOT DUE TO CHANCE.
http://www.dakotatechnics.com/downloads/Steve_Freeman.z ...
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.ph ...

16
Scoop: 47 State Exit Poll Analysis Confirms Swing Anomaly
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.ph...

17
RANDI RHODES, flip the media SPIN: Kerry vs. Bush- Exit Polls vs. Actuals
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.ph...

18
Let's clear up misinformation about Polling Margin of Error
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.ph...

19
If you believe the pre-hacked 4PM EXIT POLLS were right, the ELECTION MODEL calculates that KERRY WON with 311 EV and 50.6% of the VOTE
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.ph...

20
The Exit Polls MATCHED pre-election polls to within 1/7th of ONE percent
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.ph...

21
TAKE THE TIA ELECTION FRAUD QUIZ
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.ph...

22
Must Read from the Zogby site: "I Smell a Rat"
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.ph...

23
Morin or Moron? The Orwellian WP strikes again.
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.ph...

24
Two years ago, I calculated the odds of GOP fraud in the 2002 Senate races
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.ph...

25
GRAPH OF 49 STATES: EXIT VS. ACTUAL DEVIATIONS (38 TO BUSH)
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.ph...

26
Election Day 9PM. Exit Polls predict a Kerry win. Strategery time.
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.ph...

27
All States: Average deviation between pre-election and exit polls: 0.18%
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.ph...

28
Battleground: Average deviation between pre-election and exit polls: 0.48%
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.ph...

29
KERRY'S 2-PARTY% RED SHIFT TO BUSH: THE STATE PROBABILITIES
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.ph...

30
RED SHIFT STATE PROBABILITIES: EXIT POLLS TO ACTUALS
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.ph...

31
ASSUME WE FLIP A COIN 50 TIMES...
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.ph...

32
ONE graph: Pre-election State Polls vs. Exit Polls vs. Actuals
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.ph...

Original thread here:
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x78458