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espera17 Donating Member (297 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Mar-24-06 07:46 PM
Original message
Election Predictions
For all of you people who take great interest in elections (which I am sure most of you do) please visit hhtp://electionpredictions.blogspot.com . The site has some great statistics, info, maps, and predictions for the 2006 midterm elections. Any election news can be left as a comment because the site owner Tom updates daily.
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flaminbats Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Apr-27-06 01:35 PM
Response to Original message
1. do Democrats want to win?
:kick:

Democrats in the House are fighting this year..It makes me laugh to hear Republicans in the Senate weakly defending the oil companies! I have been waiting for nearly a decade to see our party put pressure on those now in power..

People want to see pressure put on the gas companies who have no problems with hiking the gas prices, voters want to know when they will benefit from this country's sacrifices in Iraq, and they are demanding someone to challenge these tight limits on debates and votes on legislation in Congress! Republicans used to claim that only price controls and regulation caused gas prices to climb, but supply and demand would only lower them...so why hasn't this happened?

I remember when Republicans endlessly attacked the Democrats for not allowing amendments and changes on Clinton's proposed healthcare reform. I remember when Republicans attacked chairmen like Dan Rostenkowski for implementing some kind of "corrupt Congressional order" over a free debate!! They attacked Democrats for "not allowing Republicans to make amendments to the 93 budget." Now they are in power..but now only defending this kind of closed debate.

Republicans are only defending their closed order, they are defending limits on Congressional debate, and they are defending the trifecta of single party control! Democrats are finally fighting back..and this means we can win! ;)
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DvilleDem Donating Member (73 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon May-08-06 08:50 AM
Response to Reply #1
2. First we need candidates
I live in Blair County PA (PA-09) and until recently Democrats didn't dare poke their heads out of their holes. Well now we've got a candidate for Congress oin the PA-09 So what right? The last guy this area elected to Congress that wasn't a Republican, was a whig!!!! so when Tony Barr threww his hat into the ring as a write in candidate...It's news....

Read what people are saying about Tony Barr’s write in Campaign for Congress (PA-09)

Currently one of the worst congressmen in power is about to run unopposed. Bill Schuster, whose only personal accomplishment is nepotism, doesn’t have a democratic opponent. So, not only is he someone who parrots Bush, but he is already embroiled in scandals of his own (let alone the scandal of how his father put him into his old seat), and ready to coast to another term in congress.

Because no Democrat has come forward to challenge this embarrassment, my good friend Tony Barr has announced his willingness to throw his hat into the ring.

Tony Barr is exactly the person you want to represent us in congress. He is very smart, very informed, and a democrat with guts! Tony Barr is not a “finger in the wind” kind of guy.

We can produce a miracle here. Even getting the Republicans to spend a couple of hundred thousand bucks here is a nice little victory in itself, but we have a much higher goal. One of the reasons it sometimes seems hard to get good candidates, is that the sacrifice is great and the reward for the one who fails to win is ..... nothing .....unless you count lingering campaign debt, and another opportunity to get into alignment with your former life. So, Tony is out front, he has a young family, and he has a lot of potential in the battle to bring America back. We must decide our level of support quickly because Tony Barr is going on the line for us Democrats.

Learn more: tonybarr2006.com
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DvilleDem Donating Member (73 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jun-10-06 11:02 PM
Response to Reply #2
4. In Case ya didn't know
Tony Barr got his 1000 write ins plus.....

TONY BARR REACHES, EXCEEDS GOAL

Today Tony Barr officially became the Democratic Party nominee for Pennsylvania’s 9th Congressional District to the United States Congress when his verified vote total raced past the needed 1000 write-in votes, and continued to a present total of 1776. Barr organized an intense grassroots campaign as a write-in candidate in the course of just sixteen days, winning at least 1776 officially accepted write-in votes in the May 16 primary election, almost double the number needed, to gain a spot on the Democratic ballot in November. Tony Barr will face Republican incumbent Bill Shuster in the November general election. Had Barr not succeeded, Shuster would have run unopposed.

Tony Barr, a Bedford County Special Education Teacher, took on the challenge of running for Congress after becoming increasingly dissatisfied with the 9th District’s current representation. He was also alarmed to see that the Democratic Party had not qualified a candidate for the election; he stepped forward when he heard that local Democratic grassroots organizers were interested in supporting a qualified candidate.

“I am doing this in the spirit of service to the people,” Barr said. “I have always taken on major challenges and enjoyed achieving goals, and in this case it was easy to see what was needed” Barr supports responsible energy and economic policy, universal health care, and flexible fully funded educational programs. Previously, Barr has served as regional coordinator for Democratic candidates in Blair County. He lives in Blue Knob, PA, with his wife and two small boys. Information on his positions and background can be found at www.tonybarr2006.com.

To qualify, Tony Barr needed 1000 voters to correctly enter his name on a variety of ballots, electronic voting machines, and virtual keyboards put in use for the first time in the May 16 primary, a task considered almost impossible by professional politicians. They felt that the cost of the publicity to get the word out would be prohibitive, and the new voting equipment would introduce too much voter confusion and uncertainty. The amount of cooperation needed would be enormous and probably unavailable. Barr proved them wrong.

The effort to get Tony on the ballot came from grassroots organizations in Blair County, Bedford County, Fulton County, and Franklin County with help from small groups in other areas. These organizations shared resources and information to coordinate their efforts.

While Barr needed only 1000 certified write-votes and has 1776 so far, there were many more voter attempts at writing in or spelling in his name on ballots and machines which were not counted, indicating that a much higher number were willing to offer him support. Errors included misspellings, the name on the wrong blank, frustration with new mechanical and electronic voting devices, and forgetting to fill in the oval on paper ballot after writing in his name. Sometimes Barr’s name was written on the Republican ballot. Some precincts still have not reported as of this writing.

The campaign was accomplished in sixteen days by a coalition of grassroots Democratic organizations across the district It culminated in dozens of poll workers positioning themselves at precincts the day of the primary to talk to voters and hand them cards with Tony Barr’s name correctly spelled to take to the voting stations.

Professional politicians are wary of becoming involved with write-in campaigns because they can be expensive and many things can go wrong, things that can lead to failure. In this case, the volunteers with the grassroots organizations involved supplied the materials themselves and overwhelmed the obstacles with enthusiasm and thorough organization. The necessary pamphlets, cards, and materials were printed on home computer printers, distribution was handled by thousands of direct mailings to voters, and the poll station workers along with everyone else in the campaign provided their time free.

Statements made by an opposing campaign office indicating that $75,000 would be needed to run a write-in campaign were considered “way over the top” by Barr’s army of grassroots organizers and volunteers. Jack Hendricks, a Communications Volunteer for the Fulton/Franklin Democratic Club (a local grassroots organization with members helping Barr’s campaign) estimates the cost was only two or three percent of that amount for the entire district.

The 9th Congressional District of Pennsylvania includes all of Fulton, Bedford, Blair, Huntingdon, and Franklin Counties and parts of 9 others in the south central part of the state. The cities and towns around Altoona, Chambersburg, Carlisle, Shippensburg, and Somerset are included in the district. Barr’s website is www.tonybarr2006.com.


Contact information: Jack Hendricks
4323 Cito Road
McConnellsburg, PA 17233
Fulton County

Phone: 717 485 3386
Cell 717 491 0738
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xthetylerx Donating Member (77 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Jun-04-06 09:53 PM
Response to Original message
3. Also www.electionprojection.com
http://www.electionprojection.com/ is another election prediction site that I found. It is ran by a conservative blogger, so take everything on there with a grain of salt. I think right now, he is saying that the GOP will keep control of both the Senate (Dem gain of 2) and House (Dem gain of only 5) and the Democrats will have the majority of governors.

Any others?
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imandrewmurphy Donating Member (15 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Jun-30-06 01:26 AM
Response to Original message
5. This one
What about the electronic voting? I mean common people did you see the variances in exit polls and the returns from 2004? I mean forget about Ohio, look at New Mexico, where the difference was double digit.

I am really worried the republicans have taken power for real...
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phoenixrising Donating Member (1 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Jul-07-06 09:45 PM
Response to Reply #5
6. dems are fine
nah they haven't new mexico has bill richardson and ohio is about to have a new senator

it'll come around
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