{Prudent Bear} now sees trouble ahead for the U.S. housing market. This in turn poses the risk of a long-term bear market for equities, he believes.
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That trend, fueled by rounds of cash-out mortgage refinancing that have propped up consumer spending, will give way in 2006 or 2007 to a vicious cycle that drags down corporate earnings and employment, he said.
As a result, the Prudent Bear fund has been short shares of Fannie Mae (FNM.N: Quote, Profile, Research) , the largest U.S. home lending company, and is downbeat on the housing and mortgage business in general.
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The Prudent Bear fund's other short holdings include struggling automaker General Motors Corp. (GM.N: Quote, Profile, Research) and Plantronics Inc. (PLT.N: Quote, Profile, Research) , which makes portable headsets.
As a hedge to the fund's short bets, Prudent Bear is long on a number of gold and precious metals equities. Surging gold prices, which recently neared a 25-year peak, are often a leading indicator of financial systems falling into disrepute.
http://yahoo.reuters.com/financeQuoteCompanyNewsArticle.jhtml?duid=mtfh20882_2006-01-03_18-40-36_n03180609_newsml