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First Tropical Depression on the Pacific side

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HeeBGBz Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat May-27-06 07:33 AM
Original message
First Tropical Depression on the Pacific side
Edited on Sat May-27-06 07:40 AM by HeeBGBz
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphics/EP01/refresh/EP0106W5_sm2+gif/103455W_sm.gif

Hurricane season is still 4 days away.



ZCZC MIATCDEP1 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-E SPECIAL DISCUSSION NUMBER 1
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP012006
300 AM PDT SAT MAY 27 2006

SATELLITE IMAGES INDICATE THAT THE AREA OF LOW PRESSURE
SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF ACAPULCO HAS DEVELOPED ENOUGH DEEP ORGANIZED
CONVECTION TO BE CLASSIFIED AS A 25-KNOT TROPICAL DEPRESSION. THIS
IS SUPPORTED BY DVORAK T-NUMBERS OF 2.0 ON THE DVORAK SCALE FROM
BOTH TAFB AND SAB. THE DEPRESSION CONTINUES TO BE UNDER A STRONG
SHEAR ENVIRONMENT AND THE CENTER OF CIRCULATION IS LOCATED TO THE
WEST OF A CYCLONICALLY CURVED CONVECTIVE BAND. ALTHOUGH IT IS NOT
ANTICIPATED...ONLY SMALL RELAXATION OF THE SHEAR COULD BRING THE
SYSTEM TO TROPICAL STORM STATUS.

THE DEPRESSION HAS BEEN MOVING VERY LITTLE AND IS EXPECTED TO
CONTINUE TO BE EMBEDDED WITHIN WEAK STEERING CURRENTS. THEREFORE...
THE DEPRESSION IS FORECAST TO MEANDER SOUTH OF THE COAST OF MEXICO
DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS. THIS IS CONSISTENT WITH THE LATEST GFDL
AND GLOBAL MODEL RUNS. HOWEVER...ANY NORTHWARD DRIFT COULD BRING
GUSTY WINDS AND HEAVY RAINS TO THE SOUTH COAST OF MEXICO. INTERESTS
ALONG THE SOUTH COAST OF MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THE
DEPRESSION.
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HeeBGBz Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat May-27-06 03:07 PM
Response to Original message
1. Now Tropical Storm Aletta
000
WTPZ31 KNHC 271745
TCPEP1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ALETTA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 2A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP012006
1100 AM PDT SAT MAY 27 2006

...FIRST TROPICAL STORM OF THE 2006 EAST PACIFIC HURRICANE SEASON
CONTINUES TO MOVE TOWARD THE MEXICAN RIVIERA...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTH-CENTRAL PACIFIC
COAST OF MEXICO FROM PUNTA MALDONADO WESTWARD TO ZIHUATANEJO. A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING MAY BE REQUIRED FOR A PORTION OF THE WATCH
AREA LATER TODAY OR TONIGHT.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 1100 AM PDT...1800Z...THE POORLY-DEFINED CENTER OF TROPICAL
STORM ALETTA HAS REDEVELOPED FARTHER TO THE NORTHEAST NEAR
LATITUDE 15.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 100.6 WEST OR ABOUT 105 MILES...
170 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF ACAPULCO MEXICO.

ALETTA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 7 MPH. THIS
GENERAL MOTION... ACCOMPANIED BY A GRADUAL DECREASE IN FORWARD
SPEED... IS EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT
24 HOURS.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1003 MB...29.62 INCHES.

OUTER RAIN BANDS ACCOMPANIED BY LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AND GUSTY
WINDS WILL CONTINUE SPREAD ONSHORE LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT WITHIN THE
WATCH AREA. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER
AMOUNTS IN MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN...CAN BE EXPECTED ALONG THE
SOUTH-CENTRAL COAST OF MEXICO.

REPEATING THE 1100 AM PDT POSITION...15.5 N...100.6 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 7 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40
MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER
AT 200 PM PDT.
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