PA threads here:

[rodeodance]

Forum Name General Discussion: Primaries
Topic subject Breaking: New ARG poll out of PA-52-41 Clinton
Topic URL http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=132x4991236#4991236
4991236, Breaking: New ARG poll out of PA-52-41 Clinton
Posted by Tropics_Dude83 on Sun Mar-09-08 04:22 PM

This is good news, especially if you look at the breakdown of the demographics for Obama. Sure, Obama starts 11 points down in PA, but if he runs a good campaign in PA, he can win. I'm telling you. If Obama can put Clinton on the defensive, win the news cycles going into PA, and adjust his campaign stump speech to address the voters of PA, he can win and knock the senator from New York out of her misery.

Here is the poll:

March 9, 2008 - Pennsylvania Democratic Primary Preference

Pennsylvania
Democrats Mar 7-8

Clinton 52%
Obama 41%
Someone else 1%
Undecided 6%

Barack Obama leads Hillary Clinton 59% to 38% among men (45% of likely Democratic primary voters). Among women, Clinton leads 63% to 27%.

Clinton leads 63% to 29% among white voters (78% of likely Democratic primary voters). Obama leads 89% to 7% among African American voters (18% of likely Democratic primary voters).

Clinton leads 47% to 45% among voters age 18 to 49 (55% of likely Democratic primary voters) and Clinton leads 58% to 37% among voters age 50 and older.

16% of likely Democratic primary voters say they would never vote for Hillary Clinton in the primary and 28% of likely Democratic primary voters say they would never vote for Barack Obama in the primary.

For details, click on the R or D for each state in the column on the left under 2008 Presidential Polls.

Add the undecideds and already Obama has 47% in the pool that could back him. If he swings younger voters his way by 10-15 points, he can win the state.

Remember he was down by 9 in Wisconsin just 2 weeks out.

Obama CAN win PA!!! If the media doesn't shill for it's darling, Hillary Clinton.

........MARCH 6 POLL HERE:

Topic subject Pennsylvania: Clinton 52% Obama 37%
Topic URL http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=334x4140#4140
4140, Pennsylvania: Clinton 52% Obama 37%
Posted by goldcanyonaz on Thu Mar-06-08 10:14 AM

Thursday, March 06, 2008


In Pennsylvania, Hillary Clinton has opened a fifteen percentage point lead over Barack Obama. The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey shows Clinton attracting 52% of the vote while Obama earns 37%.

In late February, before Clinton’s comeback victories in Ohio, Texas, and Rhode Island, the former First Lady’s lead in the Keystone State was just four percentage points. The big difference between that poll and the current result is found a among men. Clinton now leads by seventeen percentage points among women and eleven among men. In the previous survey, she was ahead by fifteen points among women but trails by fourteen among men.

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/pennsylvania/pennsylvania_democratic_presidential_primary

[rodeodance]

1. "Clinton home movie PA voters will be seeing a lot"

Forum Name General Discussion: Primaries
Topic subject "Clinton home movie PA voters will be seeing a lot"
Topic URL http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=132x5001102#5001102
5001102, "Clinton home movie PA voters will be seeing a lot"
Posted by madrchsod on Mon Mar-10-08 09:24 AM

"This is her first stop in Pennsylvania and its all about highlighting her blue-collar, local roots. Her grandfather spent his career at Scranton Lace Co."

http://weblogs.chicagotribune.com/news/politics/blog/2008/03/clinton_home_movie_pa_voters_w.html
The Swamp: Clinton home movie PA voters will be seeing a lot

video is embedded in the chicago tribune article.

interesting comments.....

[rodeodance]

2. Hillary pounding Obama by 19 in PA now (link)

Forum Name General Discussion: Primaries
Topic subject Hillary pounding Obama by 19 in PA now (link)
Topic URL http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=132x5023642#5023642
5023642, Hillary pounding Obama by 19 in PA now (link)
Posted by Greenwood on Tue Mar-11-08 04:09 PM

She WILL have a strong case to make the be the Dem nominee.

http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReportEmail.aspx?g=c9ce82e9-4cb0-4b64-983c-509ce4fc0ee6

[vireo]

3. The new Johnstown Flood

up 4:1 in West Central PA, which includes Johnstown

Also this:

Clinton leads by 5 among men, by 30 among women. She leads by 12 among those under age 50, leads by 26 among those age 50+. On the Economy, which is most important to Democratic voters in PA, Clinton leads by 24 points. On Health Care, next most important, Clinton leads by 32 points. Among voters focused on Iraq, the two are effectively tied.

Doesn't look like Obama can ride his 5 1/2 year-old speech to victory here.