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Edited on Wed Apr-26-06 09:47 PM by northzax
the White House Mobil station on 14th and U, Washington, DC. It is retrofitting its tanks to hold an ethanol tank. great. In the three weeks since it has been simply a convenience station, the place has made as much money, not as much revenue, but as much profit, as the three weeks before. Gas stations make money off of convenience stores, not gasoline. That's worth remembering. Makes you wonder where the profit really is (turns out, it's in pumping and importing and refining, not in retailing. So 5% is generous.
Plus, what is ExxonMobil supposed to do? sell the gasoline at a loss? you get roughly 28 gallons of gasoline from a barrel of Light Sweet Crude like what comes from Alaska and the middle east (less from heavier grades like Mexican, Californian and Venezuelan) Let us do some math.
A barrel of oil, delivered to a refinery, today costs $71.93. that is, before refining costs, internal transportation costs, EBITA, retail costs and taxes, $2.56 gallon. My local station (that's still open) sells regular gasoline for $3.19 (well, $3.1899) at 28 gallons/bbl, that's a barrel cost of $89.32. Federal taxes at $.189/gallon, that's $5.29 for the barrel. ass in DC gasoline taxes of $.195, and you have a total tax burden of $10.75 per barrel. That leaves $78.57 gross revenue. To replace that barrel of oil, today, the company needs to pay $71.93. Which leaves a net revenue of $6.64 per barrel of oil. Out of that comes refining costs, internal transportation and all the operating expenses of the company. cut all that out, and you have a margin of $.23/gallon to play with.
Now, the large companies have longer term contracts that insulate them somewhat from spot pricing, but the way the market works, the ones that don't have the ability to get lower prices will have to charge more, and the other guys follow them up. Even ExxonMobil has to buy new oil on the open market to replace what people buy, right?
There is one of two things that will lower the price of oil, for longer than a coupleof months. First, a total collapse of the economies of China and India (remember the cheap oil of the late 90's? directly related to the South East Asian economic collapse of 1997-1998. Or, a major, and I mean major new find. But that's not happening. Say we nationalize the oil industry, it wouldn't drop prices more than $.10-.15/gallon. You'll notice that Citgo, a company owned entirely by a state, one run by leftists, isn't any cheaper than ExxonMobil on the open market.
on edit: by the way, I'd love to have my math be wrong here, so please show me where. And the price of gas affects me only indirectly since I don't drive often, so this is all extrapolated.
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