Sweeter than gold or oil
Commentary: Sugar to take center ring in commodities circus
By Kevin Kerr, MarketWatch
Last Update: 12:34 PM ET Apr 28, 2006
New York (MarketWatch) -- Looking at a chart of sugar back in 1979, I now understand why my grandmother had a garbage can filled with the stuff in her basement.
Commodities are the greatest show on earth right now and one resource that's about to defy gravity is sugar. Sugar prices in the next 12 months could surge, even double as key producing countries like Brazil refine sugar based ethanol as fast as they can. Demand for ethanol as an alternative fuel is suddenly a "have to" not a "want to" for U.S. refiners. The U.S. is going to need much more ethanol this year as refiners are switching from using the water-polluting additive methyl tertiary butyl ether, MTBE, to ethanol to mix with gasoline. When crude oil prices hit an all time record high of $75 per barrel in April sugar growers, like top producer Brazil ramped up their production of cane into ethanol to meet anticipated demand. Raw sugar prices, which rose over 60 % last year, surged to a 25-year high of 19.73 cents per lb. in February.
One other factor that is always an uncertainty for the commodities sector is weather. This is especially true in places like India and the United States. The weather is showing no signs of cutting the world a break this year either. A cyclone has already struck Australia's cane farms, possibly crippling supplies in coming months from that region.
Link:
http://www.marketwatch.com/News/Story/Story.aspx?guid=%7B33F609DF%2DE310%2D45D1%2D985B%2DF2E53B996863%7D&siteid=mktw&dist=Comment: Think about how many things have sugar or high fructose corn syrup in them. We are just seeing the first wave of a new inflationary spiral.
Imperial Sugar's stock price: (does this remind you of any other companies, say, some oil or refinery co's, perhaps?)
http://ichart.finance.yahoo.com/z?s=IPSU&t=5y&q=l&l=off&z=m&a=v&p=s