Not all of the Bush disapprovers are necessarily Democratic voters

[bluestateguy]

Like everyone else here I was delighted to see that Bush has dropped to 37% in the Republican leaning Rasmussen poll. The real polls show him down as low as 32%.

Yet a recent poll shows that John Kerry would only defeat Bush by 7 percentage points, a decisive victory to be sure, but not a landslide. Obviously, a lot of Bush disapprovers are not yet convinced that Democrats represent a viable alternative. Furthermore, many of the Bush disapprovers are conservatives and/or Republicans, who wouldn't vote for a Democrat if the Lord Himself told them to. These people are mad at Bush because of runaway federal spending, Harriet Miers, immigration, the Medicare drug bill and the Dubai ports sellout. Most of these people are not likely to vote for a Democrat, though perhaps a few of them can be convinced to do so, and that may be all that we need to win in 2008. These Republican/conservative Bush disapprovers are more likely to either a) stay home on election day, b) vote third party, or c) quietly and reluctantly vote Republican but play little role in the campaign (they won't put up lawn signs and bumper stickers or drive people to the polls on election day or donate money or attend rallies, etc.)

[stuckinlodi]

1. Check Out Free Republic

Any of the threads on polls will do. There is a large contingent over there who brand Bush as "too liberal" and constantly say they won't vote Republican any more.

[BuyingThyme]

2. There is a huge vacuum waiting to be filled.

The void is waiting to be filled by ONE Democrat who isn't willing to play on, while the Titanic sinks.

Just ONE.

Where are you?

[noahmijo]

3. That's a point I've been trying to make for awhile

I see and hear of countless ex-bushbots saying how fed up and insulted they are by Bush...

Because Bush is not a "true" Christian. Because Bush just won't nuke the whole middle east. Because Bush actually loves those damn faggots. Because Bush is acting too liberal. Because Bush won't invade Mexican and shoot everyone. Because Bush won't erect a wall around the entire country. Because Bush won't make it legal for any American citizen to walk down the street with an RPG. Because Bush gave a little money to Africa once.


I would say these people make up at least 1/3 of those who "disapprove" of Bush.

[smitty]

4. No surprise. People have turned against Bush but that doesn't

necessarily mean that they'll vote Democrat. My conservative relatives and friends seem to be lost right now, they don't like what the Republicans are doing but are also wary of the Democrats. If the Democrat platform for this November is only "impeach Bush", I'm afraid we'll not get their votes. We need a coherent and specific set of principles on the war in Iraq, security, health care, energy, tax reform and immigration reform. OTOH former Bush supporters just might sit out this November's elections since all their idols have proven feet of clay---Bush, Chaney, DeLay, Limbaugh, etc. If they sit, we win. Still, I'd rather have Democrats win with as much support as possible.

[skipos]

5. I agree with everything being said here. nt