Al Fajr was the attack on Fallujah in Nov 2004. Regime officials convinced themselves that removing the center of power in Fallujah would cripple insurgent activities throughout the Province. This was followed up with a stranglehold and sweep & clear of Ramadi in early 2005. Well, the results were predictable.
Holding terrain in an asymmetrical war is not only useless it renders the military holding the terrain subject to the whim of the guerrilla force. MSRs and bases are static and the insurgents can target them at will. It doesn't have to be any mad 1000 man assault but merely a few mortars
EVERYDAY an IED and triple stacked mine along the side of the road and observation of US military habits. Eventually the forces at the bases will either retaliate against the innocent populace or rotate out and the cycle of attacks continue...
This leads to the demoralization of the American people and the intractability of the Ruling Elites who are willing to sacrifice as many of the American cogs as necessary to advance their goals. Of course, what is lost on Bush is that Iraq is not a game of
RISK. You don't simply move in the faceless wooden counters of your side in and remove the soulless, faceless counters of the enemy out. But, in the end it doesn't matter to the Regime because it's not their loved ones in danger and they aren't about to risk their reputations of chances of being re-elected by admitting a mistake (if they even view the fiasco as a mistake).
The rendering obsolete of a massive State military has been dramatically shown to the world with Iraq and Israel's attack on Lebanon. A massive amount of server time has been devoted to the concept of 4th Generational Warfare. But, passing on that topic for a while what is more discouraging about this will be the Bush Regime response. Blitz the US populace with Propaganda, loosen restrictions on targeting, and pour more young men into the grinder.
After all only
868 deployment days until 20 Jan 2009...
From the Article:
RAMADI - The U.S. military has lost control over the volatile al-Anbar province, Iraqi police and residents say.
The area to the west of Baghdad includes Fallujah, Ramadi and other towns that have seen the worst of military occupation, and the strongest resistance.
Despite massive military operations which destroyed most of Fallujah and much of cities like Haditha and al-Qa'im in Ramadi, real control of the city now seems to be in the hands of local resistance.
In losing control of this province, the U.S. would have lost control over much of Iraq.Read more at:
http://www.commondreams.org/headlines06/0905-05.htm