BREAKING TN SENATE: Harold Ford Jr. Takes The Lead In Tennessee

[Jackson4Gore]

http://haroldfordjr2006.blogspot.com/

Well folks, we have a new leader in this United States Senate race and his name is Congressman Harold Ford Jr.

It looks as though the Congressman's solutions oriented campaign is resonating with people all around Tennessee as he has surged ahead of Bob Corker in the new Survey USA poll:

From Survey USA:

Tennessee voters will also elect a United States Senator. In an election today, who would you vote for? Republican Bob Corker? Democrat Harold Ford Jr.? Or some other candidate?

45% Corker (R)
48% Ford (D)
1% Other
6% Undecided

Black Turnout May Decide Fierce Senate Fight Between Corker and Ford: In an election for United States Senator from Tennessee today, 9/12/06, Democrat Harold Ford, Jr. and Republican Bob Corker are locked in a fierce fight, according to a SurveyUSA poll conducted exclusively for WBIR-TV Knoxville. 8 weeks to the 11/7/06 election, Ford gets 48% and Corker gets 45%. The outcome is within the poll's 4.0% margin of sampling error. Ford gets 85% of Democrat votes. Corker gets 81% of Republican votes. Independents prefer Ford, 53% to 40%. Black turnout is critical to the outcome of this contest. Corker leads by 5 among whites, who make up 86% of TN Likely Voters in SurveyUSA's turnout model. Ford, an African American, leads by 69 points among black voters, who make up 11% of the electorate in SurveyUSA's turnout model. A higher black turnout helps Ford, possibly just enough to elect him. A lower black turnout helps Corker. There is a 17-point Gender Gap: Corker leads by 6 among males. Ford leads by 11 among females. Ford leads in Western TN by 24 points and in Middle TN by 4 points. Corker leads by 9 points in Eastern TN. Ford leads 2:1 in Urban areas. Corker leads by 3 points in the suburbs and by 7 points in rural areas. Incumbent Republican Senator Bill Frist is not running for re-election. This open seat is critical for the Democrats' hopes of regaining control of the U.S. Senate.

Filtering: 1,200 Tennessee adults were interviewed 9/9/06 - 9/11/06. Of them, 1,014 were registered to vote. Of them, 638 were judged to be "likely voters." Crosstabs reflect Likely Voters.

A new generation of leadership is coming folks! Get ready!

[Subdivisions]

1. Go Harry!!!! YES!

[Mr_Spock]

2. Well, the direction there looks good

There are going to be a few critical & close races this fall - should be interesting.

Hopefully Dems will take most of 'em :D

[napi21]

3. That's GREAT NEWS, but it's still 50+ days and 3 points is way too

close! I really hope this is a continuing trend upward for Harold, and he wins the election in Nov!

[aquart]

4. Three percent ain't enough.

I so hate to put a damper on what should be a triumph, but Tennessee is a state fully-experienced in suppressing the black vote.

Sorry, but nothing will make me believe Gore lost his home state. Not after the stories that came out on election night and afterwards.

Please tell me Tennessee has instituted major reforms to prevent all that.

[bluestateguy]

5. He has very quietly come back to make a race out of this one

If we lose in Missouri and New Jersey we will have to win this one and Virgina to even have a chance at the Senate.

[Renew Deal]

6. I hope Mr. Ford can do it.

He's a good guy and the other guy is a typical mindless puke.