Rasmussen has shrub approval at 44%.

[Clarkie1]

September 12, 2006

Forty-four percent (44%) of American adults approve of the way that President Bush is performing his job. Fifty-four percent (54%) disapprove. Those are the best numbers for the President in months and it remains to be seen whether today’s update reflects lasting change or merely statistical noise.

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/Bush_Job_Approval.htm

I vote for statistical noise.

[Erika]

1. statistical noise n/t

[Purveyor]

2. Of course. He was a guest on the Hannity radio show today... n/t

[Selatius]

3. It's probably because of 9/11 being mentioned so much

I would postulate it's a remnant "rally around the flag" effect from 2001.

[Clarkie1]

5. You would think by now reminders of 9/11 would lower his approval.

If shrub had done his job, it never would have happened.

[GreenTea]

16. Of course it should & would under normal circumstances!

But instead - we have Rove circumstances---that makes it all another reality - They've working on this shit the past two years, controlling to hold control the majority...they aren't going to let something like public opinion , low polls and an accurate vote count stand in the way-- they can control all that.

[johnaries]

4. For Rasmussen Polls always subtract 5 points.

They weight their polls because they think there are more Repukes than Dems. Also their "daily" polls are actually an average over the past several days. Don't ask me why they think that makes sense.

In other words, Rassmussen IS statistical noise.

Here's proof - they "correctly" predicted the 2000 fixed election.

[LaPera]

6. Rasmussen polls are bullshit, when EVERY poll had Bush at 31 to 34 %

a month or so ago...Rasmussen had Bush at 40%

Rasmussen always has Bush (along with Fox and Gallup) much higher than ALL the other polls CBS CNN NY Times, WaHoPo USA TODAY Zogby, etc. etc.

[Ignacio Upton]

8. Good point

Although I wouldn't lump Zogby in as a credible polling company.

Rasmussen is credible in state races, but not in terms of job approval. Still, with the 9/11 anniversary and falling gas prices, I'm bracing myself for Bush being back up in the 40's entirely.

[Cameron27]

9. Which of those polls would you consider to be the most

reliable? I've assumed Zogby, but I can't remember why the hell I think that.

[LaPera]

13. Rasmussen should be known as the Rove poll! Manipulation of

the media to produce spin!!!

Watch.... Bush will keep rising according to these polls to 51% (or more) by election time...it's a facade, a control mechanism to explain the results of the elections...

These aren't stupid people...they know how to steal....slowly!!!

[Cha]

7. Yeah, right. "44%" of

the American people think .."It's hard for a chimp out there".

[fooj]

10. Once again...I call bullshit.

[Anarcho-Socialist]

11. Rasmussen doesn't have a record of getting it right

Therefore I'll see what poll data comes from the other organisations.

[Lexingtonian]

12. I consider Rasmussen accurate

at measuring Bush disapproval. What they lump as approval, though, other polling organizations tend to split into Undecided, soft approval, and hard approval by various criteria.

This 44% number is just the 45% hard Bush voter bloc of 2004 making a brief reappearance, reduced 1-2% by deaths. At times they still want to believe in Bush, even though they feel and know they shouldn't. It's just that he has taken them back to their glory days of disaster, fear, and hatred in 2001 one more time. Nostalgia.

My impression of the real Bush numbers is 56-58% rejection, 4-6% deeply ambivalent (Republican leaning indies), 6% soft benefit of the doubt support (moderate Republicans tired of it all), and 32% solid support (Right and Christian Right Repubs).

Bush is one disaster short of losing the R-leaning indies entirely, with moderate Pubbies also barely willing to lift a finger for him and his crew.

[LaPera]

14. No dude, the fix is on...slowly and surely to November 7th...Keep Bush

rising, but slowly and always a WH reason -(spin)- why, along the way...It's bullshit my fellow DUers.

[GreenTea]

15. Hmmm....

You think they really are that good?