I don't know about you, but all the talk about "the GOP might be able to keep the house AND Senate this year" is freaking me out. What is OUT message? I'm a complete political animal and I'm not hearing it.
Here's a great read from over at Josh's:
http://www.tpmcafe.com/blog/coffeehouse/2006/sep/15/election_endgameThe Democratic Party is still trying to figure out who its voters are, and flails about with slogans and props. Instead, the Democrats should enter the endgame and talk about a simple set of points: Iraq is idiocy, wages are terrible, and the corrupt Republicans are responsible for both. They too should be engaged in KITV (Keep In The Vote, keep the republican votes home and a companion to GOTV)- that is, attacking Republicans for not being Republican enough.
The reason is simple. The muddled moderates will be persuaded that whatever they think of "tax cuts" in the abstract, that the people who have sunk a decade in the sands of Iraq can't be trusted to do anything. The important play is to convince the angry Republicans to stay home, that this election isn't going to bring them closer to their real goals. This is going to be helped by the long term reactionary rhetoric that is trying to pretend that Bush isn't a reactionary. Corruption links the two - it is corruption that brought us failure in Iraq and failure in the economy.
snip
The backdrop of unfinished business, the "issues" that clutter recent statements from the Democratic Party are not effective GOTV or KITV. Health care, energy, security - all of these are matters that people have made up their mind. The idea is to give your people a shot of adrenaline.
That shot, as Josh Micah Marshall and others have pointed out - is Social Security. The simple meme to tell voters is that "Bush has a secret plan to cancel Social Security." It really is that simple - people need to go to the polls believing that if they didn't their Social Security checks are in danger. Since this is true, it is easy to say. Sure you can throw in Republican dirty tricks over 911, and the little issues like improving health care access on the margins. But that is the job of individual candidates in individual districts, each of which has its own balance of concerns.