On other post in DU, it was mentioned that this administration has been trying since MAY to reduce the price of Gasoline. They stopped buying oil for the Strategic Oil Reserves (It had been completely filled, for the first time ever, just prior to Katrina, but bush sold off a lot of the oil to reduce price right after Katrina). They had their buddies in the oil industry pump as much oil as possible to keep the price low.
I was wondering all Summer why the price of Gasoline did not raise. People were on vacation, often driving. OPEC was pumping all the oil it could to keep the price low. None of this was enough to drop prices during the summer, but oil production was and is tight. Why was the price not going up? At the time I attributed it to market forces, enough people had STOPPED buying gasoline so that the price would not go up. I saw a lot of people in my area riding bicycles (I live in a poor part of town). Next to me a a plumbing wholesalers and I have seen a shift in vehicles over the last 3-6 months, from almost all 3/4 to 1 ton trucks picking up plumbing parts to the lot is now filled about 1/2 with smaller SUVs and even Cars picking up plumbing parts. All together, less people driving, people using smaller and more fuel efficient vehicles, and increase production may have set the price for Summer at $3 a gallon.
I attributed the recent price drop to the end of the summer driving Season, which reduced the demand for gasoline, the continued effect of people not driving and driving more fuel efficient cars combined with steady oil production to cause a net decrease in the price of gasoline.
The Scary thought is that the above was affected by something else, by a HUGE drop in demand. The drop being from the US Military being told by Bush to reduce oil purchases. I read last year that 15% of all diesel fuel made WORLD-WIDE, is purchased by the US Navy (To use as bunker fuel in their ships AND as kerosene in their fighter planes). The Army and Air Force also uses a LOT of Fuel especially when performing Military operations.
What could Bush had told the military to do? Don't use our last non-Nuclear Carrier at all, reduce the number of diesel powered ships (Use out Nuclear powered Cruisers for jobs normally done by diesel powered Destroyers) and more important REDUCE FLYING MISSIONS. The Air Force was probably told the same. This can all be done for "Budgetary Reasons" and most military people outside the Pentagon would not even connect the two.
As to the Army, the concentration in Baghdad may be the result of the same policy. Get the Infantry within artillery range so that Helicopters and Planes do not need to be called out to provide fire support. Reduce the length of patrols so that less fuel is used. Send more men to secure the highway between Barsa and Baghdad so trucks can be used to haul supply instead of flying the supplies in. EVEN IF THIS MEANS THE RESISTANCE TAKES OVER THE REST OF IRAQ. The Resistance would see the panic and step up their attacks on US forces and our "Iraq army" (and intensify the ongoing Civil War as the US forces are withdrawn and the natives are left to fight among themselves).
That was and is my Scary thought, that the drop in the price of Gasoline is being produced do to reduce purchasing by the US Military do to orders from Bush to reduce purchases so with the less demand for oil the price of oil and gasoline will drop before November.
This also means no Attack on Iran till around or after a time period when such an attack would not affect gasoline prices before the November election. If the attacks occurs to early the price of gasoline would go up and affect the voters more than a push to back the President during the attack. I see the attack coming after the election (Remember the attacks right after the Presidential election in 2004). Now the attack could come as early as October 22, 2006, the next New Moon. Air attacks tend to be around the New Moon for with modern technology and GPS you do not need any moonlight and the darker it is the better for a night air attack. The following Full Moon is November 5. Night Vision goggles work better if you have some moonlight to see the ditches in the ground, the more moonlight the better to detect holes in the ground, thus ground attacks tend to occur around the Full Moon.
Thus the recent drop in price (and this summer's failure to get ot $4 a gallon) seems to be the product of US Government policy to reduce oil consumption by the US Military on a massive scale. The problem is this can only be done so far before our enemies make their moves against our forces do to our temporary weakness do to the need to conserve fuel. Thus right after the election I can see Bush unleashing the Military to make up for lost time AND SEE THE PRICE OF OIL GO THROUGH THE ROOF.
Next New Moon:
October 22, 2006
November 20, 2006
Next Full Moon:
October 7, 2006
November 5th, 2006
http://aa.usno.navy.mil/data/docs/MoonPhase.html#y2006