SAFIRE wrong on '06 predictions, 11 out of 14. = "NostraDUMBASS" - Bwahahah!!1

[UTUSN]

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http://www.radosh.net/archive/001724.html#more
December 29, 2006

Nostradumbass

William Safire returned to the New York Times Op-Ed page today for his 33rd annual predictions for the year ahead column. The Times allows Safire to continue writing this column because he is a professional pundit, and therefore better at predicting upcoming events than the average Joe. Or a chimp with a dart.

Right?

At the top, Safire alludes to the fact that his predictions for '06 "took a beating," but he doesn't quantify that. So I've done it for him. Out of the 14 predictions Safire made last year at this time, 3 came to pass. Maybe 3 and a half (In this year's column he gives himself credit for his prediction a year ago about the stock market. I'd call that generous.) In other words, William Safire is about as good at predicting the future as David Brooks is at predicting the past. Details after the jump.

Here's how I scored Safire's 2005 column. Some of these predictions are outside the area of my expertise, so if you think I judged incorrectly, let me know and I'll reassess. ....



(RADOSH goes through all 14 predictions. Below is somebody's Reply Post: )

The worst ones are the predictions with "none" as the correct answer. Since, presumably, Safire himself came up with the multiple choices, this means he had 3 or 4 wrong answers to each of those predictions. This means out of 14 tries he actually managed to be wrong more than 20 times!

Posted by: QrazyQat | December 30, 2006 07:19 PM

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[radfringe]

1. my favorite

14. As Bush approval rises, historians will begin to equate his era with that of: (a) Truman; (b) Eisenhower; (c) L.B.J.; (d) Reagan; (e) Clinton.
Safire's prediction: a
Correct answer: hahahahahahahahaha!