1. Why aren't France and Germany in Iraq with you, you ask? Because they're not stupid. And they're trying to stop your attacking another country by pretending to take a tough line with Iran. I repeat, the sanctions are useless. They haven't deterred Iran in the slightest.
2. Listen to the IAEA chief, you say.OK. His most recent comments on Iran - Nov 23 report to Directors (after the sanctions)
To that end I should inform you that I have received in recent days communications from Iran, in which it agreed to an Agency request to take further environmental samples from the equipment already sampled at a technical university. It also agreed to provide access to the operating records of the Pilot Fuel Enrichment Plant. These are steps in the right direction.http://www.iaea.org/NewsCenter/Statements/2006/ebsp2006n021.html#dprk3. You say the Security Councils sanctions are proportionate to the current situation.I agree. The sanctions are unnecessary since there is no proof whatsoever that Iran is secretly developing nuclear weapons. So the SC cobbled together a suitably worthless set of sanctions that will have no effect on Iran, but allow the US a much needed face-saving measure.
4. You say the resolution demands that Tehran end all uranium enrichment work, which can produce fuel for nuclear plants as well as for bombs.Wrong. Current enrichment work is not suitable for bombs.
5. You say the IAEA is going after the transfer of enrichment materials and expertise and that the IAEA will be meeting again soon and they may cut off all technical assistance.So what? Iran is doing this internally. That's the point. Iran wants to be able to provide its own fuel for its THE PEACEFUL GENERATION OF ELECTRICITY without having to worry about sanctions and consequent supply problems. Who could blame them after what they've been subjected to, not being even able to buy replacement parts for civilian airliners.
Under the sanctions Russia can conduct legitimate nuclear activities in Iran, including the Bushler reactor, so what has really changed as far as transfer of technology?
6. You say Iran must now submit to IAEA control or pull out of the NPT. That is the point of this thread -- to point out that Iran continues to cooperate with the IAEA. You totally missed the point of the OP.
7. You say everyone else is in the (Iranian) street is just parroting the line because they don't want to go to jail or lose their job.Can you provide us with any evidence that this is so?
8. You say "this is about whether or not Iran will be able to build a nuclear weapon in violation of the NPT, if they haven't started already and they very well may have taken some steps"If that were so, don't you think the IAEA would have found at least a hint of such activity in over 3 years of inspections?
9. You say "Pakistan has nukes, India has nukes, Israel has nukes, so why wouldn't Iran want nukes? A nation with enormous oil reserves that are tapped is dying for a nuclear program because of energy needs? Please tell me, I'm begging to hear a logical answers."This has been explained in several recent DU threads. Honestly, you're not very curious not to have found the answer to your question yet, but ok, here are some reasons:
- a booming population
- rapid industrialisation
- imports large amounts of gasoline and electricity
- massive fossil fuel use is damaging the environment
- Iran argues oil is too valuable to be used for mere electricity generation; it should be used instead for high value products, and to get foreign exchange
- developing nuclear power would cost a fraction of the cost of fully developing its industry, especially since Iran has lots of uranium ore.
- oil field declines
Iran 'needs nuclear power'27/12/2006
Iran could run out of oil to export in eight years without significant investment in infrastructure, according to a new study.
The report, published by the US National Academy of Sciences, suggests that Iran's nuclear programme could be a "genuine" opportunity for investors as oil production has failed to bridge oil field losses and domestic demand growth.
Roger Stern of Johns Hopkins University in Maryland said: "I'm not saying that Iran will have no oil in eight years. I'm saying that they will be using all of it for themselves."
The data published in the Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences said Tehran could become "politically vulnerable" from the decline in exports as these account for about 70 per cent of government revenue.
"It therefore seems possible that Iran's claim to need nuclear power might be genuine, an indicator of distress from anticipated export revenue shortfalls," Mr Stern said.
http://www.manchester.com/National_News/Iran_needs_nuclear_power-18018436.htmlIran may need nuclear power, study saysBy Jim Wolf
REUTERS
7:26 a.m. December 26, 2006
WASHINGTON – Iran's claim to need nuclear power may be genuine, given that it could run out of oil to export as soon as eight years from now, according to an analysis published Tuesday by the National Academy of Sciences.
The study's author, Roger Stern, a researcher at Johns Hopkins University in Maryland, said investment in Iranian oil production had been inadequate to offset oil field declines and the explosive growth in domestic demand.
http://www.signonsandiego.com/news/world/20061226-0726-iran-nuclear-study.html10. You say (a) "This is very much about the politics of nuclear weapons and (b) frankly I'm sick to death of all the paranoia here about the US/Israel attacking Iran."(a) No this is not about nuclear weapons. The Bush-neocon propaganda machine has very effectively made this about nuclear weapons but Iran is not developing nuclear weapons. If you say they are, then provide some proof. I trust the IAEA more than I trust you.
(b)Perhaps the paranoia is caused by constant statements by leaders in the US and Israel that they are considering attacking Iran?
11. You write: "Bottomline: Iran has not allowed the IAEA full access to all sites, has violated some safeguard procedures, and continues to blow off even the UN, the IAEA, and much of the international community of experts on international nuclear politics."Oh what a crock of shit. The IAEA has similar problems with many countries. Yet the only one the warmongers bring up is Iran. I wonder why that is.
23 November 2006 | Vienna, Austria
IAEA Board of Governors
Introductory Statement to the Board of Governors by IAEA Director General Dr. Mohamed ElBaradeiThere are 30 States that have not fulfilled their legal obligation, under the NPT, to conclude a comprehensive safeguards agreement - and over 100 States that have yet to bring an additional protocol into force.http://www.iaea.org/NewsCenter/Statements/2006/ebsp2006n021.html#dprkThe fact is, Iran is cooperating with the IAEA and working towards fulfilling its obligations under the NPT. And this is being ignored by the Western propaganda press.