Persian Gulf, Open War, and Petroleum Exports

[Strelnikov_]

Open war in the Persian Gulf region could eliminate 18.7 Mbbl/dy (45%) of the worlds 2005 petroleum export market.

Overnight, for all practical purposes.

Think we will still be able to import that 12.4 Mbbl/dy of SUV go-juice with the Chinese, Indians, Japanese, South Koreans, Germans, French etc. all using those dollars they have accumulated to bid against us in what remains of the export market.

On the plus side, we still produce a lot of oil (40% of our consumption) domestically. We won't starve. But with a 3 gal/month gasoline ration, I think SUV sales may take a hit.


Just something to ponder.

http://www.eia.doe.gov/emeu/international/oiltrade.html

All in Mbbl/dy

Top World Oil Net Exporters, 2005

Saudi Arabia 9.1
Russia 6.7
Norway 2.7
Iran 2.6
United Arab Emirates 2.4
Nigeria 2.3
Kuwait 2.3
Venezuela 2.2
Algeria 1.8
Mexico 1.7
Libya 1.5
Iraq 1.3
Angola 1.2
Kazakhstan 1.1
Qatar 1.0

=====

Above represents 39.9 Mbbl/dy of 42 Mbbl/dy world export market
18.7 Mbbl/dy of above in Persian Gulf region


Top World Oil Net Importers, 2005

United States 12.4
Japan 5.2
China 3.1
Germany 2.4
South Korea 2.2
France 1.9
India 1.7
Italy 1.6
Spain 1.6
Taiwan 1.0


Top World Oil Consumers, 2005 (Domestic production in parans.)

United States 20.7 (8.3 - 40%)
China 6.9 (3.8 - 55%)
Japan 5.4 (0.2 - 4%)
Russia 2.8
Germany 2.6
India 2.6
Canada 2.3
Brazil 2.2
Korea, South 2.2
Mexico 2.1
France 2.0
Saudi Arabia 2.0

[Jcrowley]

1. K&R n/t

[Strelnikov_]

2. A movie opening dialog that seems more prescient every day . .

“My life fades, the vision dims, all that remains are memories. I remember a time of chaos. Ruined dreams, this wasted land. But most of all, I remember the Road Warrior. The man we called Max.

To understand who he was you have to go back to another time. When the world was powered by the black fuel, and the deserts sprouted great cities of pipe and steel.

Gone now, swept away. For reasons long forgotten, two mighty warrior tribes went to war, and touched off a blaze which engulfed them all. Without fuel they were nothing. They had built a house of straw. The thundering machines sputtered, and stopped. Their leaders talked, and talked, and talked. But nothing could stem the avalanche. Their world crumbled. The cities exploded. A whirlwind of looting, a firestorm of fear.

Men began to feed on men. On the roads it was a white line nightmare. Only those mobile enough to scavenge, brutal enough to pillage, would survive. The gangs took over the highways, ready to wage war for a tank of juice.

And in this maelstrom of decay, ordinary men were battered and smashed, men like Max, the warrior Max. In the roar of an engine he lost everything. He became a shell of a man, a burnt-out desolate man. A man haunted by the demons in his past. A man who wandered out into the wasteland. And it was here, in this blighted place, that he learned to live again.”

Opening Dialog, “The Road Warrior”, 1981

[illinoisprogressive]

3. The spoiled lazy US is the pig of them all. and the spoiled and lazy

won't give up the suvs and the gas hogs. Gotta have that livingroom on wheels with the television and climate control and all the luxury for something that was suppose to get you from a to b.
When Americans stop being a bunch of brats that want everything to accomodate thier selfishness and give it up and start being responsible, thoughtful and caring citizens of the world and start thinking in terms of living like normal rather than thinking it has to be the biggest, hoggiest, showiest we will be slaves.
Does anyone NEED a supersized Hummer with a television? Or a supersize screen tv? Or the latest and greatest? For what? To show off?

[Strelnikov_]

4. ..