Iran, the Bomb and the Cowboy

[madokie]

http://oregonmag.com/IranNukes.html

"As I have said time and time again, a negotiated settlement is the best solution." -- Kofi Annan, Secretary General of the United Nations

The American ambassador to that non-august body calls the Iran problem one of the great dangers facing the West, and indeed the world. China and Russia have both said they will veto any attempt to create sanctions in the Security Council -- which may be taken to signify that to them Iranian terrorists with their own stock of nukes are less a threat to world peace than was South African apartheid.

Events are shaping the situation like a funnel. Iran is daily reducing Bush's options. Watching, one is left wondering about the forces working on the mullahs.

The scenario under discussion here, as seen from these drippy fern temperate rain forested regions will play out as follows. Before mid-summer, the U.S. will send stealth bombers to slide improved bunker buster bombs down the vent pipes of underground buildings in about a dozen locations in the Dictatorship of Iran. The U.S. will do it for two reasons. First, if we don't, Israel will. Second, if Israel does, the cards in the geopolitical deck will reshuffle in a way that cannot be predicted, except to this extent: it seems almost certain that all bloody hell will break loose. The genie will be freed from his bottle.