No Tinfoil BUT IF we do bomb

[serryjw]

the shit out of Iran I promise you oil will go through the roof. Iran will block the Straits Of Hormuz, they may sink a tanker, the OPEC nations may boycott us. I would start making arrangements on how the family is going to get to work/school. I can't imagine how much a barrel/gallon of gas could go.

[NYC]

1. Don't forget the price of food.

It may not be obvious to you, but living on the island of Manhattan, I am well aware that all food is trucked in. The trucks pay higher gasoline prices, and the food costs more.

[serryjw]

6. Thanks......start stocking up!

tons of can goods NOW!

[Name removed]

2. Deleted message

Message removed by moderator. Click here to review the message board rules.

[serryjw]

9. OMG It was written over a year ago

and so accurate. What do you do with this madman except :cry:

[NYC]

11. That's very interesting.

Thanks. We may have to read it again after the fact.

[unblock]

3. over $100/bbl, temporarily, at a minimum, if there's ANY disruption.

if we actually use nukes of any sort, people are going to want to STOCKPILE oil as a hedge against all kinds of hell breaking loose.

in that case, the sky's the limit.

[RoyGBiv]

8. In that case ...

We will not be driving cars, and trucks will not be delivering goods.

Exploding a nuke, even a low-yield nuke, anywhere in the world will alter life as we know it.

[mike_c]

4. I've got that covered....

Alternate transportation:



Sucks in the rain, however.

[serryjw]

7. Bike, bus, LEGS

or make arrangements to work at home, if possible

[saltpoint]

5. Has anybody asked Bill Kristol whether he favors a strike on Iran's

nuclear sites? He was one of the original fire-belching advocates of the Iraq War, so I was just wondering where he stood on this new option.

serryjw, I think you're right to say that there are consequences aplenty to Bush bombing Iran. I don't think the long-term damage it would do aon a variety of fronts is worth the short-term poll jack he gets.

I've had about enough of Dubya's pseudo-cowboy BS, haven't you?

[David in Canada]

10. Spot On...

Your analysis is spot on. The only **possible** fault with it is that you might be too optimistic. :cry:

:nuke: :nuke: :nuke: :nuke: :nuke:

[serryjw]

12. WELCOME TO DU!

Unfortunately, I know you maybe right. I can't allow myself to think the unimaginable.I may never see peace again in my lifetime :cry: We may finally get our wish and awaken the whole country to this madman. Remember 'shared sacrifice'? Well we may ALL get it soon.

[David in Canada]

14. Thanks for the welcome!

Hope to see you around on more threads in the future! :toast:

[awoke_in_2003]

16. Welcome to DU

love that maple leaf. That is why I am getting my double bachelor degrees, makes emigration easier (if it is ever needed). Spent 3.5 weeks in Montreal on business in 2002, met nothing but great people.

[Old and In the Way]

13. It will have severe economic effects here.

I think the other shoe will be a major unload on the USD. Other countries will dump dollars and that'll have the effect of making it worth less. Remember, we are a trading nation now and we rely on others for lots of goods....if the dollar devalues, everything will cost more. This is one way they can hurt our economy without damaging infrastructure...a different sort of nuetron bomb.

But the Americans who will pay the real price will be our soldiers in Iraq. I can only imagine what they will be thinking when they hear the idiots in the White House are considering the of bombing Iran. They know damn well what would be in store for every soldier in Iraq. Think of Mogadishu, only on the scale of an entire country coming at us.

[Jigarotta]

15. we?

?
whose 'we'?

[serryjw]

17. A welcome to DU also to you

WE Unfortunately is the US......or the madman in the BIG WHITE HOUSE that doesn't pay rent

[doc03]

18. Even if we bomb nuclear sites with conventional

weapons wouldn't that release deadly radiation and kill thousands similar to Chernobyl?

[WillyT]

19. An Article For Ya - CSM

Why Iran Oil Cutoff Could Be Suicidal

<snip>

Iran's nuclear standoff with the United States, Europe, and other nations has led to considerable speculation of $100-per-barrel oil and $4-per-gallon gasoline in the US. Such high prices might kick off a worldwide energy crisis and recession.

The West already suspects that Iran's uranium enrichment program is a cover for bombmaking. To try to put a stop to it, the United Nations Security Council could impose sanctions, or even riskier, the US or Israel might attempt to knock out Iran's nuclear facilities with an air or missile strike.

In retaliation, Iran could act against its own best economic interests and slash oil exports. Last September, the head of Iran's powerful Revolutionary Guards warned that "any sanction against Iran" could push the price of oil to $100 a barrel.

"It would be easy to see oil trading at $100 a barrel," says Milton Ezrati, an economist with Lord Abbett, a mutual-fund company in Jersey City, N.J. But if oil traders view the action by Iran as merely a short-lived "diplomatic stunt," he says, oil would rapidly head back toward today's $62 a barrel price.

Mr. Ezrati warns that a long-term action would cause energy prices to soar. That would set back the incipient recoveries in Europe and Japan and seriously slow the US economy as well.

<snip>

Link: http://www.csmonitor.com/2006/0327/p17s01-cogn.html

:scared:

[serryjw]

20. I think that is optimistic for us

Any oil will be used for commerical use. I think gas will be more than $4.00/gallon

[Montagnard]

21. God Lord, what will Walmart do

if there is no more cheap undewear?